Medicul Gabriel Diaconu:<\/a> \u201eAcesta este pre\u0163ul prostiei noastre, a tuturor, dac\u0103 \u00eenc\u0103 mai r\u00e2dem de coronavirus.
\nAvem deocamdat\u0103 13 persoane diagnosticate cu Covid-19. S\u0103 facem c\u00e2teva calcule, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere c\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 la Pa\u015fte mai sunt 5 s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni.<\/p>\n\nInfec\u0163iozitatea acestui virus este la 2.5. Asta \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 fiecare persoan\u0103 d\u0103 boala mai departe la (\u00eentre) dou\u0103 \u015fi trei persoane. Nu exist\u0103 imunitate natural\u0103, virusul este nou, nu \u015ftim dac\u0103 vreunul distruge virusul \u00eenainte s\u0103 devin\u0103 contagios. Premisa e c\u0103 dac\u0103 \u00eel iei, \u00eel dai mai departe. Cine prime\u015fte, poate face forme foarte u\u015foare\/ asimptomatice, sau poate dezvolta temperatur\u0103, tuse etc.<\/p>\n
\nDin 13 persoane infectate, \u00een 5 s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni, dac\u0103 oamenii nu colaboreaz\u0103 \u015fi\/ sau autorit\u0103\u0163ile nu \u00ee\u015fi fac treaba, la o perioad\u0103 medie de incuba\u0163ie de 7 zile, matematic avem:<\/p>\n
\nS\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na #1: 13 x 2.5 = 32.5
\nS\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na #2 32.5 x 2.5 = 81.25
\nS\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na #3 81.25 x 2.5 = 203.13
\nS\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na #4 203.13 x 2.5 = 507.8
\nS\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na #5 507.8 x 2.5 = 1269.5<\/p>\n
\nAsta este, deocamdat\u0103, performan\u0163a autorit\u0103\u0163ilor rom\u00e2ne. Au prevenit evolu\u0163ia, \u00een perioada urm\u0103toare, a 1300 de cazuri. Ceea ce nu e deloc pu\u0163in. Dar pre\u0163ul este c\u0103 peste 12 mii de oameni sunt \u00een izolare, \u015fi \u00een fiecare zi se fac anchete epidemiologice.<\/p>\n
\nCe ar fi dac\u0103 autorit\u0103\u0163ile nu \u015fi-ar face treaba, popula\u0163ia nu ar coopera, lumea ar continua s\u0103 fac\u0103 b\u0103\u015fc\u0103lie?<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen pu\u0163in peste o lun\u0103, din 13 persoane infectate ajungi s\u0103 ai 1300 de persoane infectate.<\/p>\n
\nDintre acestea, ce \u015ftim deocamdat\u0103 este c\u0103 un procent de 10 \u2013 15% vor dezvolta forme de boal\u0103 care necesit\u0103 ajutor medical, deci undeva \u00eentre 130 \u2013 200 de cazuri, \u015fi c\u0103 mortalitatea estimat\u0103 este undeva la 4%, adic\u0103 50 de persoane.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Marea problem\u0103 cu coronavirusul o reprezint\u0103 num\u0103rul mare de \u00eemboln\u0103viri care sufoc\u0103 spitalele existente. De asta China a construit rapid dou\u0103 mari spitale (la noi s-a declarat c\u0103 a\u015fa ceva este imposibil). Cu medici pu\u0163ini, locuri de spitale pu\u0163ine, rata de mortalitate a coronavirusului poate exploda. Medicul Gabriel Diaconu: \u201eAcesta este pre\u0163ul prostiei noastre, a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[19080,482,80,9039],"class_list":["post-180723","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-medic","tag-pret","tag-refuz","tag-spitale"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/180723","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=180723"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/180723\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=180723"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=180723"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=180723"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}