{"id":180702,"date":"2020-03-09T17:20:50","date_gmt":"2020-03-09T17:20:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=180702"},"modified":"2020-03-09T17:20:50","modified_gmt":"2020-03-09T17:20:50","slug":"rafila-despre-covid-19-varf-in-aprilie-mai-in-cursul-verii-va-scadea-in-iarna-va-creste-din-nou","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=180702","title":{"rendered":"Rafila, despre COVID-19: V\u00e2rf \u00een aprilie-mai, \u00een cursul verii va sc\u0103dea, \u00een iarn\u0103 va cre\u015fte din nou"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nPre\u015fedintele Societ\u0103\u0163ii Rom\u00e2ne de Microbiologie (SMR), Alexandru Rafila, a spus, luni, la Marius Tuc\u0103 Show, c\u0103 sper\u0103 ca p\u00e2n\u0103 la var\u0103 transmiterea virusului s\u0103 se fac\u0103 mai dificil, \u00eens\u0103 \u00eentrevede \u015fi posibilitatea unei ciclicit\u0103\u0163i: \u201eV\u00e2rf \u00een aprilie-mai, \u00een cursul verii va sc\u0103dea, \u00een iarn\u0103 va cre\u015fte\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\nAlexandru Rafila este de p\u0103rere c\u0103 \u00eenchiderea grani\u0163elor pentru o anumit\u0103 perioad\u0103 de timp poate fi o variant\u0103 \u201ep\u00e2n\u0103 la un anumit punct\u201d, \u00eens\u0103, \u201ec\u00e2nd e\u015fti for\u0163at de cereri economice, politice, o iei de la cap\u0103t\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen plus, Rafila a spus la \u201eMarius TUc\u0103 \u015ehow\u201d c\u0103 infec\u0163ia nu se va opri, d\u00e2nd exemplul Italiei, unde exist\u0103 o cre\u015ftere a num\u0103rului de cazuri.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eUn doctor britanic spune c\u0103 punctul inflexiunii cred c\u0103 va fi prin luna aprilie, c\u00e2nd putem face o evaluare. Noi tot sper\u0103m c\u0103 la var\u0103 va fi un miracol \u015fi transmiterea virusului se va face cu mai mare dificultate. Alte virusuri corona sunt mult mai sensibile la usc\u0103ciune \u015fi presupunem c\u0103 \u015fi acesta va fi la fel. R\u0103m\u00e2ne s\u0103 vedem dac\u0103 va fi a\u015fa. V\u00e2rf \u00een aprilie &#8211; mai dup\u0103 care \u00een cursul verii va sc\u0103dea, apoi \u00een iarn\u0103 va cre\u015fte din nou. Probabil va fi o ciclicitate. China sper\u0103 s\u0103 se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103 ce s-a \u00eent\u00e2mplat la SARS \u00een 2002. La SARS discutam de o r\u0103sp\u00e2ndire mai mic\u0103. Aici vorbim de o transmitere pe trei continente. Atunci e mult mai greu, noi tot sper\u0103m\u201d, a spus Rafila.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen cazul \u00een care nu va fi posibil\u0103 reducerea num\u0103rului de cazuri \u00een \u0163\u0103rile cu transmitere comunitar\u0103, Rafila \u00eentrevede o prelungire de un an &#8211; doi ani, \u201epractic la grip\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00centrebat dac\u0103 exist\u0103 posibilitatea imuniz\u0103rii popula\u0163iei, pre\u015fedintele SMR a r\u0103spuns afirmativ.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eDa, prin boal\u0103 sau prin vaccinare. Noi sper\u0103m la un vaccin. El poate s\u0103 fie gata \u00een 3 luni, dar testarea clinic\u0103, \u00een laborator pe animal, pe om dureaz\u0103 \u00een timp \u015fi nimeni nu se hazardeaz\u0103 pentru c\u0103 nu e ca la Ebola unde era vorba de c\u00e2teva sute de mii de locuitori. Aici vorbim de c\u00e2teva sute de milioane. Trebuie s\u0103 fim siguri c\u0103 vaccinul nu are efecte adverse, c\u0103 e sigur. Mai e un lucru care e mai pu\u0163in discutat. Capacit\u0103\u0163ile de produc\u0163ie necesare ca s\u0103 po\u0163i face aceast\u0103 cantitate imens\u0103 de vaccin \u00een condi\u0163ii de siguran\u0163\u0103 maxim\u0103. Nu \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 dac\u0103 producem acest vaccin toate celelalte vaccinuri nu mai trebuie la r\u00e2ndul lor produse. 12 luni e un interval optimist \u00een ceea ce prive\u015fte ob\u0163inerea \u015fi disponibilitatea unul vaccin\u201d, a mai spus Rafila.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pre\u015fedintele Societ\u0103\u0163ii Rom\u00e2ne de Microbiologie (SMR), Alexandru Rafila, a spus, luni, la Marius Tuc\u0103 Show, c\u0103 sper\u0103 ca p\u00e2n\u0103 la var\u0103 transmiterea virusului s\u0103 se fac\u0103 mai dificil, \u00eens\u0103 \u00eentrevede \u015fi posibilitatea unei ciclicit\u0103\u0163i: \u201eV\u00e2rf \u00een aprilie-mai, \u00een cursul verii va sc\u0103dea, \u00een iarn\u0103 va cre\u015fte\u201d. Alexandru Rafila este de p\u0103rere c\u0103 \u00eenchiderea grani\u0163elor pentru [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[46210,246,46232,13141],"class_list":["post-180702","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-covid","tag-crestere","tag-rafila","tag-vara"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/180702","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=180702"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/180702\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=180702"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=180702"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=180702"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}