\nFondul Monetar Interna\u0163ional (FMI) \u015fi-a redus recent a\u015ftept\u0103rile globale de cre\u015ftere pentru 2019 la 3%, cel mai sc\u0103zut nivel de la criza financiar\u0103 din 2008\/9, \u00een mare m\u0103sur\u0103 din cauza tensiunilor comerciale dintre SUA \u015fi China.<\/p>\n
\n\u00centruc\u00e2t economia global\u0103 prezint\u0103 deja semne de \u00eencetinire, Simon Baptist, spune c\u0103 tiparele se schimb\u0103 \u015fi c\u0103 cre\u015fterea \u00een sine nu mai poate fi asigurat\u0103.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen ultimii zece ani, o duzin\u0103 de \u0163\u0103ri au \u00eencheiat cu un nivel de cre\u015ftere al PIB real mai mic dec\u00e2t cel de la \u00eenceputul deceniului, inclusiv Grecia, Iran \u015fi Libia, \u00een timp ce Ucraina \u015fi Italia au o evolu\u0163ie f\u0103r\u0103 modific\u0103ri semnificative. \u00centr-o not\u0103, Baptist a sugerat c\u0103 lumea va se va confrunta \u015fi cu o \u00eencetinire a economiei chineze.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eM\u0103 a\u015ftept ca majorarea PIB s\u0103 fie aproximativ la jum\u0103tate \u00een anii 2020 dec\u00e2t a fost \u00een anii 2010. \u0162\u0103rile cu cea mai rapid\u0103 cre\u015ftere vor fi \u00een Africa (de\u015fi nu \u00een Nigeria) \u015fi \u00een sudul \u015fi sud-estul Asiei, cu Bangladesh, Kenya \u015fi Filipine, care vor avea toate un deceniu puternic\u201d, a spus el.<\/p>\n
\n\u0162\u0103rile cu cele mai rapide \u00eemb\u0103tr\u00e2niri \u015fi cu popula\u0163ii \u00een sc\u0103dere, cum ar fi Japonia, Italia \u015fi Portugalia, se pot a\u015ftepta la o cre\u015ftere aproape de zero, \u00een timp ce \u00eemb\u0103tr\u00e2nirea poate provoca dificult\u0103\u0163i precum consolidarea monedelor \u015fi cre\u015fterea nevoilor de \u00eengrijire pe pie\u0163e emergente precum China, Rusia \u015fi Thailanda.<\/p>\n
\nO a treia tendin\u0163\u0103 prev\u0103zut\u0103 de Baptist este o continuare a instabilit\u0103\u0163ii politice, pe fondul cre\u015fterii nivelului de alfabetizare \u015fi a sc\u0103derii costurilor de comunicare, care revolu\u0163ioneaz\u0103 peisajul politic de pe pie\u0163ele emergente. \u201eDup\u0103 cum arat\u0103 protestele din aceast\u0103 s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 \u00eempotriva legilor anti-musulmane din India, politicile care rezult\u0103 din aceste schimb\u0103ri \u00een comunicare nu faciliteaz\u0103 \u00eentotdeauna bun\u0103starea sau cre\u015fterea\u201d, a spus el.<\/p>\n
\nO alt\u0103 evolu\u0163ie-cheie pe care EIU o anticipeaz\u0103 este amplificarea divergen\u0163elor dintre SUA \u015fi China, mult dincolo de r\u0103zboiul comercial de 18 luni dintre Washington \u015fi Beijing. \u201eCa urmare, ambele p\u0103r\u0163i \u00ee\u015fi vor pune companiile \u015fi alte \u0163\u0103ri \u00een pozi\u0163ii incomode\u201d, a concluzionat Baptist.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 global\u0103 se va \u00eenjum\u0103t\u0103\u0163i \u00een urm\u0103torul deceniu fa\u0163\u0103 de actuala mdecad\u0103, potrivit lui Simon Baptist, economist \u015fef la Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[24896,3045],"class_list":["post-178574","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-economie-mondiala","tag-eiu"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/178574","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=178574"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/178574\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=178574"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=178574"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=178574"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}