\nPre\u015fedintele Recep Tayyip Erdogan risc\u0103 s\u0103 \u00eemping\u0103 Turcia spre un colaps economic iminent, similar cu cel din \u0163\u0103rile latine conduse autoritar de populi\u015fti, potrivit gigantului britanic de investi\u0163ii Ashmore Group, citat de Bloomberg.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen timp ce Turcia are o economie mai diversificat\u0103 dec\u00e2t Venezuela, care depinde de petrol, \u0163ara condus\u0103 de Erdogan urmeaz\u0103 aceea\u015fi re\u0163et\u0103 de politici economice riscante care o vor ruina, noteaz\u0103 managerul britanic de active cu un portofoliu de 85 miliarde dolari.<\/p>\n
\nControlul capitalului, na\u0163ionalizarea \u015fi alte politici care \u00eempiedic\u0103 sectorul privat s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi apere dreptul la proprietate \u00een contextul \u00een care condi\u0163iile macroeconomice se deterioreaz\u0103 par a fi urm\u0103torii pa\u015fi spre care se \u00eendreapt\u0103 Turcia dac\u0103 va continua \u00een direc\u0163ia actual\u0103, consider\u0103 Jan Dehn, \u015feful cercet\u0103rii \u00een cadrul Ashmore.<\/p>\n
\nRaportul a venit dup\u0103 ce pre\u015fedintele turc Erdogan a r\u0103v\u0103\u015fit pie\u0163ele s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na aceasta, \u00eendep\u0103rt\u00e2ndu-\u015f pe guverntorul Murat Cetinkaya de la banca central\u0103.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eProblema este c\u0103 revenirea la politici bune va avea din start cu cost politic ridicat. Cu c\u00e2t am\u00e2n\u0103 mai mult, cu at\u00e2t mai mare costul, de aceea politicienii care pornesc pe aceast\u0103 cale \u00ee\u015fi schimb\u0103 doar foarte rar cursul \u015fi ajung aproape \u00eentotdeauna \u00een criz\u0103\u201d, adaug\u0103 Dehn.<\/p>\n
\nOficialii din Turcia au spus de mai multe ori c\u0103 nu au planuri de a impune controlul capitalului \u015fi spun c\u0103 ader\u0103 la principiile pie\u0163ei libere.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen continuare, Dehn crede c\u0103 politicile economie proaste vor \u00eencepe s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi cear\u0103 costul politic. \u00cen locul unor decizii pentru a repara problemele structurale din economie, guvernul va decide s\u0103 atace simptomele problemei, precum infla\u0163ia, \u00eencetinirea cre\u015fterii economice, o moned\u0103 slab\u0103 \u015fi \u00eencetinirea investi\u0163ilor. \u00centre timp, adev\u0103ratele probleme r\u0103m\u00e2n ignorate \u015fi se \u00eenr\u0103ut\u0103\u0163esc.<\/p>\n
\nPrintre problemele care se vor \u00eenr\u0103ut\u0103\u0163i se num\u0103r\u0103 politici monetare proaste, interven\u0163ionism ridicat, dob\u00e2nzi sc\u0103zute \u015fi rela\u0163ii externe gestionate slab. Guvernul va \u00eencerca s\u0103 \u00eenvinov\u0103\u0163easc\u0103 alte grupuri \u00een loc s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi asume gre\u015felile, pentru c\u0103 func\u0163ioneaz\u0103 din punct de vedere politic, \u00eens\u0103 aceast\u0103 abordare \u00eei \u00eengrijoreaz\u0103 \u015fi mai mult mai investitori \u015fi pe oamenii de afaceri, consider\u0103 \u015feful echipei de cercetare.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen contextul \u00een care perspectivele continu\u0103 s\u0103 se deterioreze, Dehn crede c\u0103 investitorii \u015fi businessurile vor \u00eencepe s\u0103 ia m\u0103suri pentru a-\u015fi proteja averile, ceea ce va rezulta \u00een exituri de capital \u015fi sc\u0103derea investi\u0163iilor. Apoi, guvernul va \u00eencepe s\u0103 \u00eenvinov\u0103\u0163easc\u0103 sectorul privat pentru performan\u0163a economic\u0103 slab\u0103 a \u0163\u0103rii, lu\u00e2nd m\u0103suri pentru a-i \u00eempiedica s\u0103-\u015fi scoat\u0103 banii din \u0163ar\u0103, urm\u00e2nd controlul de capital \u015fi na\u0163ionalizarea. Pentru a \u00eencheia caracterizarea drumului pe care a intrat Turcia, Ashmore conchide c\u0103 astfel se ajunge la lipsa de finan\u0163are, lipsa cre\u015fterii economice, lipsa perspectivelor pozitive \u015fi \u00eenceputul crizei.<\/p>\n
\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Pre\u015fedintele Recep Tayyip Erdogan risc\u0103 s\u0103 \u00eemping\u0103 Turcia spre un colaps economic iminent, similar cu cel din \u0163\u0103rile latine conduse autoritar de populi\u015fti, potrivit gigantului britanic de investi\u0163ii Ashmore Group, citat de Bloomberg. \u00cen timp ce Turcia are o economie mai diversificat\u0103 dec\u00e2t Venezuela, care depinde de petrol, \u0163ara condus\u0103 de Erdogan urmeaz\u0103 aceea\u015fi re\u0163et\u0103 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510,530],"tags":[466,11421,188,24967,220,7249,14762],"class_list":["post-173743","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","category-analize","tag-capital","tag-criza-economica","tag-economie","tag-erdogan","tag-politica","tag-turcia","tag-venezuela"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173743","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=173743"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173743\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":173747,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173743\/revisions\/173747"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=173743"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=173743"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=173743"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}