{"id":172689,"date":"2019-06-05T13:27:48","date_gmt":"2019-06-05T13:27:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=172689"},"modified":"2019-06-05T13:27:48","modified_gmt":"2019-06-05T13:27:48","slug":"recesiunea-globala-un-scenariu-inevitabil-care-sunt-cele-sase-tari-care-se-afla-in-pericol","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=172689","title":{"rendered":"RECESIUNEA global\u0103, un scenariu INEVITABIL: Care sunt cele \u015fase \u0163\u0103ri care se afl\u0103 \u00een pericol"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\nArgentina, Tunisia, Bahrain, Turcia, Iordania \u015fi Cipru sunt cele \u015fase state care, conform unei analize Euler Hermes, sunt \u00een special \u00een pericol \u00een cazul unei recesiuni globale.<\/div>\n<div>\n&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div>\nAlte 12 \u0163\u0103ri sunt &#8220;mai vulnerabile&#8221; \u015fi ar necesita o monitorizare atent\u0103 \u00een cazul \u00een care \u00eencetinirea global\u0103 va fi deosebit de puternic\u0103. Aceast\u0103 list\u0103 include, de asemenea, o economie avansat\u0103, anume Italia, arat\u0103 un comunicat de pres\u0103 remis MEDIAFAX.<\/div>\n<p>\nBanca Na\u0163ional\u0103 a Rom\u00e2niei (BNR) a men\u0163inut rata dob\u00e2nzii de politic\u0103 monetar\u0103 la 2,5%, chiar dac\u0103 infla\u0163ia a crescut din luna februarie de la 3,8%, la 4% \u00een martie \u015fi 4,1% \u00een aprilie. \u00cengrijor\u0103rile exprimate la nivelul unor membri ai Consiliului de Administratie ai BNR cuprind o serie de riscuri ascendente pentru infla\u0163ia viitoare. Materializarea acestora indic\u0103 o cre\u015ftere substan\u0163ial\u0103 a infla\u0163iei prognozate pentru sf\u00e2r\u015fitul anului \u00een curs de la 3% anterior la 4.2%. Rata \u015fomajului a r\u0103mas la un nivel istoric de doar 3,3% \u00een luna martie, \u00een timp ce cre\u015fterea salariilor (c\u00e2\u015ftigurile salariale medii nete) s-a accelerat la + 14% anual la martie 2019, de la + 13% \u00een al 4-lea trimestru din 2018. \u00cen plus, moneda na\u0163ional\u0103, care a fost remarcabil de stabil\u0103 \u00een 2018, a sc\u0103zut anul acesta (-2.1% fa\u0163\u0103 de EUR YTD) pe fondul l\u0103rgirii deficitelor de cont curent, respectiv deficitului bugetar. \u201eNe a\u015ftept\u0103m ca BNR s\u0103 \u00eencerce in continuare reducerea dezechilibrelor macroeconomice, men\u0163in\u00e2nd un control ferm asupra lichidit\u0103\u0163ii pie\u0163ei monetare, dar acest lucru este probabil s\u0103 fie \u00eenso\u0163it chiar si de majorarea ratei dob\u00e2nzii \u00een cursul acestui an\u201d, arat\u0103 analiza.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201e\u00centr-adev\u0103r, la nivelul \u0163\u0103rilor din CEE infla\u0163ia \u00een cre\u015ftere (mai ales \u00een Rom\u00e2nia \u015fi Ungaria) a fost asociat\u0103 \u015fi cu o cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 mult peste nivelul \u0163\u0103rilor mai dezvoltare din Uniunea European\u0103. Cu toate acestea, cre\u015fterea de 5.1% a Produsului Intern Brut din Rom\u00e2nia pentru primul trimestru are ata\u015fat\u0103 \u015fi deficitele cele mai ridicate enun\u0163ate mai sus. Acestea, poten\u0163ate de anumite incertitudini la nivel politic \u015fi \u00een lipsa m\u0103surilor de ajustare a dezechilibrelor care se completeze politica monetar\u0103 se pot u\u015for materializa \u00een presiuni asupra cursului de schimb, ca supap\u0103 de reglare pe termen scurt\u201d, spune Mihai Chipirliu, CFA, Head of Risk Analysis Euler Hermes Rom\u00e2nia.<\/p>\n<p>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mediafax.ro\/economic\/recesiunea-globala-un-scenariu-inevitabil-cele-sase-tari-care-se-afla-in-pericol-18157389\">Cititi mai multe pe www.mediafax.ro<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Argentina, Tunisia, Bahrain, Turcia, Iordania \u015fi Cipru sunt cele \u015fase state care, conform unei analize Euler Hermes, sunt \u00een special \u00een pericol \u00een cazul unei recesiuni globale. &nbsp; Alte 12 \u0163\u0103ri sunt &#8220;mai vulnerabile&#8221; \u015fi ar necesita o monitorizare atent\u0103 \u00een cazul \u00een care \u00eencetinirea global\u0103 va fi deosebit de puternic\u0103. Aceast\u0103 list\u0103 include, de [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[246,10043,179,8457],"class_list":["post-172689","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-crestere","tag-pericol","tag-recesiune","tag-scenariu"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/172689","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=172689"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/172689\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=172689"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=172689"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=172689"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}