\nCsaba B\u00e1lint, analist macroeconomic OTP Bank, a fost premiat de organiza\u0163ia interna\u0163ional\u0103 de cercetare economic\u0103 Consensus Economics pentru cele mai exacte estim\u0103ri macroeconomice din Rom\u00e2nia, potrivit unui anun\u0163 oficial al b\u0103ncii.<\/p>\n
\n\u201e2018 ne-a purtat printr-o serie de surprize at\u00e2t de ordin legislativ, c\u00e2t \u015fi macroeconomic, \u015fi ne-a determinat s\u0103 fim mereu \u00een priz\u0103 \u015fi s\u0103 evalu\u0103m constant efectele locale pentru tendin\u0163ele observate la nivel interna\u0163ional. \u00cen contextul \u00een care politicile monetare, macroeconomice \u015fi modific\u0103rile legislative au determinat opinia public\u0103, consumatorul, s\u0103 se informeze mai mult \u015fi s\u0103 se educe din punct de vedere economic \u015fi financiar, consider c\u0103 analizele macroeconomice reprezint\u0103 un reper important \u015fi trebuie s\u0103 reprezinte c\u00e2t mai bine realit\u0103\u0163ile pie\u0163ei locale\u201d, a declarat Csaba B\u00e1lint, Analist Macroeconomic OTP Bank Rom\u00e2nia.<\/p>\n
\nPentru anul 2019, analistul OTP Bank estimeaz\u0103 o cre\u015ftere a PIB-ului de 3,5%, similar cu anii anteriori, \u00een care consumul gospod\u0103riilor ar putea fi din nou principalul motor de cre\u015ftere.<\/p>\n
\nReferitor la ratele de referin\u0163\u0103 BNR, Balint consider\u0103 c\u0103 ar putea r\u0103m\u00e2ne la acela\u015fi nivel \u00een anul 2019, \u00eens\u0103 pe termen mediu ar putea fi necesar\u0103 o cre\u015ftere modest\u0103 a ratei dob\u00e2nzii pentru a men\u0163ine infla\u0163ia bine ancorat\u0103 de \u0163int\u0103.<\/p>\n
\n\u201ePoliticile fiscale pro-ciclice \u015fi neortodoxe, precum \u015fi deficitul de cont curent relativ ridicat \u015fi \u00een cre\u015ftere, semnaleaz\u0103 acumularea de vulnerabilit\u0103\u0163i. Prin urmare, este de a\u015fteptat ca BNR s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een continuare deosebit de vigilent\u0103\u201d, crede analistul.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen acest context, el consider c\u0103 ritmul de cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 va continua s\u0103 se diminueze \u00een continuare \u00een toate economiile cheie ale lumii, f\u0103r\u0103 a intra \u00eentr-o adev\u0103rat\u0103 recesiune \u00een acest an.<\/p>\n
\nProgramul Forecast Accuracy Awards, dezvoltat de Consensus Economics, recunoa\u015fte realiz\u0103rile unui grup restr\u00e2ns de exper\u0163i economi\u015fti \u00een prognoza, care au realizat cele mai exacte estim\u0103ri cu privire la evolu\u0163ia produsului intern brut \u015fi a infla\u0163iei \u00een \u0163ara \u00een care activeaz\u0103, \u00een anul 2018.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen procesul de evaluare a analizelor macroeconomice pentru Forecast Accuracy Awards, Consensus Economics ia \u00een considerare prognozele furnizate de anali\u015fti \u00een decurs de 24 de luni. Pentru evaluarea exactit\u0103\u0163ii pentru anul 2018, au fost luate \u00een considerare proiec\u0163iiile colectate \u00een perioada ianuarie 2017 \u2013 decembrie 2018.<\/p>\n
\n <\/p>\n
\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Csaba B\u00e1lint, analist macroeconomic OTP Bank, a fost premiat de organiza\u0163ia interna\u0163ional\u0103 de cercetare economic\u0103 Consensus Economics pentru cele mai exacte estim\u0103ri macroeconomice din Rom\u00e2nia, potrivit unui anun\u0163 oficial al b\u0103ncii. \u201e2018 ne-a purtat printr-o serie de surprize at\u00e2t de ordin legislativ, c\u00e2t \u015fi macroeconomic, \u015fi ne-a determinat s\u0103 fim mereu \u00een priz\u0103 \u015fi s\u0103 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510,530],"tags":[18110,34612,190,8887,7585,11880,9105,13391,98],"class_list":["post-171740","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","category-analize","tag-analist","tag-balint","tag-crestere-economica","tag-estimare","tag-estimari","tag-organizatie","tag-otp-bank","tag-premiere","tag-romania"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/171740","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=171740"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/171740\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=171740"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=171740"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=171740"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}