\n <\/div>\n
\nPre\u0163ul petrolului crud pe future se tranzac\u0163ioneaz\u0103 la cel mai \u00eenalte nivele din ultimii trei ani \u015fi jum\u0103tate, alimentate de o cerere puternic\u0103, o ofert\u0103 sc\u0103zut\u0103 a marilor produc\u0103tori \u015fi de tensiunile geopolitce care abund\u0103 din Orientul Mijlociu \u015fi Venezuela.<\/p>\n
\nPre\u0163ul \u0163i\u0163eiului crud Brent, de referin\u0163\u0103 la nivel interna\u0163ional, a crescut cu 48% \u00een ultimul an \u015fi s-a tranzac\u0163ionat la peste 80 de doalri per baril.<\/p>\n
\n\u00centre timp, pre\u0163ul petrolului \u00een SUA este \u00een cre\u015ftere cu 43%, la 72 de dolari per baril.<\/p>\n
\nC\u00e2nd pre\u0163ul petrolului cre\u015fte rapid, genereaz\u0103 cre\u015fterea costurilor pentru combusibili \u015fi scade consumul \u00een economiile dezvoltate. Dar atunci c\u00e2nd pre\u0163ul petrolului scade prea mult, se creeaz\u0103 presiune asupra na\u0163iunilor produc\u0103toare de petrol.<\/p>\n
\nP\u00e2n\u0103 acum, pre\u0163ul petrolului s-a men\u0163inut \u00eentre cele dou\u0103 limite, transmite UBS.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eCu toate acestea, acum c\u0103 ne apropiem de 100 de dolari per baril, impactul devine iar\u0103\u015fi unul negativ\u201d, transmit economi\u015ftii b\u0103ncii elve\u0163iene. \u201eContextul favorabil la nivel global \u2013 unde pre\u0163ul petrolului ar contribui \u00een mod pozitiv la cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 \u2013 pare a se situa \u00eentre 50 \u015fi 70 de dolari per baril\u201d.<\/p>\n
\nDac\u0103 pre\u0163ul petrolului ar ajunte la 100 de dolari per baril, predic\u0163ia UBS cu privire la cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 global\u0103 \u00een 2019 ar fi sc\u0103dea de la 4% la 3,86%. De asemenea, infla\u0163ia la nivel global ar dep\u0103\u015fi 4%, \u00een cre\u015ftere fa\u0163\u0103 de predic\u0163ia actual\u0103 conform c\u0103reia pre\u0163urile de consum vor cre\u015fte cu 3,1% p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een luna iulie.<\/p>\n
\nImpactul economic ar fi diferit la nivelul fiec\u0103rei \u0163\u0103ri, \u00eens\u0103 Statele Unite ar fi printre cele mai afectate.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eAr trebui s\u0103 lu\u0103m \u00een serios aceast\u0103 posibilitate, mai ales pentru c\u0103 aceste cre\u015fteri bru\u015fte au determinat ultimele 5 sau 6 recesiuni ale economiei americane\u201d, transmite UBS.<\/p>\n
\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Pre\u0163ul petrolului este \u00een cre\u015ftere constant\u0103, iar anali\u015ftii de la UBS avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 dac\u0103 petrolul va atinge pragul de 100 de dolari, acest fenomen va declan\u015fa recesiunea economiei americane, potrivit CNBC. Banca elve\u0163ian\u0103 de investi\u0163ii s-a al\u0103turat corului de institu\u0163ii financiare care avertizeaz\u0103 cu privire la poten\u0163ialul impact al cre\u015fterii pre\u0163ului petrolului asupra economiei globale. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[15146,246,179],"class_list":["post-160840","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-avertizare","tag-crestere","tag-recesiune"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160840","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=160840"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160840\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":160845,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160840\/revisions\/160845"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=160840"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=160840"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=160840"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}