{"id":155258,"date":"2017-11-23T10:30:00","date_gmt":"2017-11-23T10:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=155258"},"modified":"2017-11-23T10:30:00","modified_gmt":"2017-11-23T10:30:00","slug":"ruptura-dintre-stat-si-privat-se-vede-in-statisticile-cresterii-economice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=155258","title":{"rendered":"Ruptura dintre stat \u015fi privat se vede \u00een statisticile cre\u015fterii economice"},"content":{"rendered":"

\nCre\u015fterea economic\u0103 de 7% \u00een primele 9 luni \u015fi de 8,8% \u00een trimestrul III 2017, anun\u0163at\u0103 de Institutul Na\u0163ional de Statistic\u0103 (INS), reprezint\u0103 o medie na\u0163ional\u0103 a evolu\u0163iilor sectoriale, o rezultant\u0103 a minusurilor \u015fi plusurilor, unde – \u00een premier\u0103 – minusurile vin din sectorul public, dependent de bugetul de stat, iar plusurile vin din sectorul privat. Cifrele INS sunt tip \u201dsemnal\u201c, arat\u0103 doar evolu\u0163ia pe scurt a Produsului Intern Brut, dar din datele lunare comunicate recent se poate \u00eentrevedea contribu\u0163ia fiec\u0103rui sector la mersul economiei.<\/p>\n

\nAfacerile din industrie, spre exemplu, au un plus de peste 10% pe medie, dar asta pentru c\u0103 \u00een ramurile privatizate v\u00e2nz\u0103rile au crescut cu 15% spre 20% (produc\u0163ia de autovehicule, confec\u0163iile metalice \u015fi activit\u0103\u0163ile de rafinare ar fi c\u00e2teva exemple), \u00een timp ce ramurile unde predomin\u0103 statul (cum ar fi extrac\u0163ia c\u0103rbunelui) au minusuri de p\u00e2n\u0103 la 15%. Mai mult, vechea problem\u0103 a investi\u0163iilor este prezent\u0103 \u015fi acum: cheltuielile publice de capital au un minus de 20,3%, iar la construc\u0163iile inginere\u015fti – lucr\u0103rile de infrastructur\u0103 – minusul este de 26%, \u00een timp ce construc\u0163iile de case (particulare) au crescut cu 82,9% \u015fi \u00eenmatricul\u0103rile auto – cu 43,8%.<\/p>\n

\n\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\nPractic, toate sectoarele importante ale economiei au avut cre\u015fteri cu dou\u0103 cifre \u00een primele nou\u0103 luni: comer\u0163ul (+11% la auto \u015fi carburan\u0163i, +12.5% la m\u0103rfurile nealimentare, +29,9% la livr\u0103rile online), serviciile profesionale \u015fi pentru popula\u0163ie (+13,1%, respectiv +14,1%), transporturile (+14,7%), turismul (+10,8%). Atunci de ce media na\u0163ional\u0103 a cre\u015fterii economice este de numai 7%?<\/p>\n

\nExplica\u0163ia nu poate fi alta dec\u00e2t c\u0103 statul, prin retragerea \u00een locul aloc\u0103rii de fonduri care ar trebui direc\u0163ionate c\u0103tre investi\u0163ii, nu mai e un factor multiplicator, ci un vector care trage \u00een jos, cel pu\u0163in statistic, economia.<\/p>\n

\nPrivite dintr-o alt\u0103 perspectiv\u0103, cifrele sectoriale mai arat\u0103 c\u0103 industria c\u00e2\u015ftig\u0103 tot mai mult teren, ag\u0103\u0163\u00e2ndu-se de cre\u015fterea \u00eenc\u0103 viguroas\u0103 a consumului popula\u0163iei (a se vedea avansurile din comer\u0163, auto \u015fi construc\u0163iile reziden\u0163iale), dar acoper\u0103 \u00eentr-o m\u0103sur\u0103 deocamdat\u0103 redus\u0103 aceast\u0103 cerere, restul venind din import.<\/p>\n

\n\u0162\u0103rile din care noi import\u0103m p\u00e2n\u0103 \u015fi cele mai banale produse ce puteau fi ob\u0163inute aici (s\u0103 zicem Germania, Polonia, Turcia sau Olanda) ar trebui s\u0103 transmit\u0103 Rom\u00e2niei scrisori de mul\u0163umire. Prin cump\u0103r\u0103turile noastre furibunde, le men\u0163inem lor locurile de munc\u0103, le ced\u0103m lor crema profiturilor \u015fi le umplem lor vistieriile cu valut\u0103. Ei produc, noi cump\u0103r\u0103m.<\/p>\n

\nDar – vestea bun\u0103 – \u00eencepem s\u0103 producem tot mai mult, acoperind \u00eentr-o mai mare m\u0103sur\u0103 \u015fi ce cump\u0103r\u0103m noi (\u00een locul importurilor), \u015fi ce cump\u0103r\u0103 ei (la export). \u015ei \u00eenc\u0103 o veste bun\u0103: media salariilor nete a crescut (cu 13,5% \u00een septembrie 2017 fa\u0163\u0103 de septembrie 2016) \u015fi va mai cre\u015fte, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere noua criz\u0103 a for\u0163ei de munc\u0103, sus\u0163in\u00e2nd – ca putere de cump\u0103rare – \u015fi economia rom\u00e2neasc\u0103, \u015fi economiile altora.<\/p>\n

\nContinu\u0103m, a\u015fadar, cu acest model de cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 bazat\u0103 pe consum \u015fi importuri, cu investi\u0163ii \u015fi construc\u0163ii \u00een deriv\u0103. Acum, \u00een statisticile primelor nou\u0103 luni, se mai vede \u00eenc\u0103 ceva: \u00eentre stat \u015fi privat se produce o ruptur\u0103 care ar putea avea consecin\u0163e chiar mai grave dec\u00e2t o eventual\u0103 supra\u00eenc\u0103lzire a economiei, c\u00e2t\u0103 vreme sectorul public pare hot\u0103r\u00e2t s\u0103 anuleze av\u00e2ntul sectorului particular.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sectoarele economice care \u00eenc\u0103 mai depind de bugetul public dau extremele sc\u0103derilor din primele nou\u0103 luni ale anului 2017, \u00een timp ce sectoarele cu capital preponderent privat consemneaz\u0103 cre\u015fteri-record fa\u0163\u0103 de aceea\u015fi perioad\u0103 din 2016, reiese din statisticile oficiale.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[530],"tags":[74,466,7226,246,190,470,188,8337,9359,19981,6546,8690,8674,9506,315,425,19707,5626],"class_list":["post-155258","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analize","tag-buget","tag-capital","tag-constructii","tag-crestere","tag-crestere-economica","tag-cumparare","tag-economie","tag-evolutie","tag-ins","tag-perioada","tag-privat","tag-public","tag-record","tag-scaderi","tag-sector","tag-statistica","tag-timp","tag-vin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155258","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=155258"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/155258\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=155258"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=155258"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=155258"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}