{"id":130430,"date":"2016-01-02T12:45:00","date_gmt":"2016-01-02T12:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=130430"},"modified":"2016-01-02T12:45:00","modified_gmt":"2016-01-02T12:45:00","slug":"populismul-terorismul-si-crizele-politice-din-germania-si-franta-principalele-provocari-in-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=130430","title":{"rendered":"Populismul, terorismul \u015fi crizele politice din Germania \u015fi Fran\u0163a, principalele provoc\u0103ri \u00een 2016"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n<strong>Mi\u015fc\u0103ri populiste \u00een Statele Unite \u015fi Europa<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\n&#8220;Ascensiunea \u00abTendin\u0163ei \u00een\u015fel\u0103toare\u00bb (\u00abTrumpery Tendency\u00bb, dup\u0103 numele controversatului candidat republican Donald Trump) are multe lucruri \u00een comun cu Partidul Ne\u015ftiutorilor din anii 1840-1850. Reprezentan\u0163ii Partidului Ne\u015ftiutorilor au ales primari \u00een ora\u015fele Chicago, San Francisco, Washington \u015fi au condus statul Massachusetts. Apelul lui Donald Trump \u00een sensul interzicerii intr\u0103rii musulmanilor \u00een Statele Unite \u015fi rezisten\u0163a opus\u0103 de republicani fa\u0163\u0103 de planul pre\u015fedintelui Barack Obama de a distribui mii de refugia\u0163i sirieni \u00een Statele Unite sugereaz\u0103 o ur\u0103 similar\u0103, care are acelea\u015fi elemente politice (chiar dac\u0103 niciun vot real deocamdat\u0103). Mi\u015fc\u0103rile populiste au ap\u0103rut \u015fi au disp\u0103rut \u00een politica american\u0103. De obicei, au beneficiat de scind\u0103ri \u00een cadrul partidelor, disp\u0103r\u00e2nd treptat prin ridicolul public. Au fost erodate \u015fi de factori demografici. Ast\u0103zi, retorica antimigra\u0163ie care pare at\u00e2t de amenin\u0163\u0103toare risc\u0103 s\u0103 alieneze clasa de mijloc emergent\u0103 de tip hispanic. Aproape fiecare \u0163ar\u0103 din Uniunea European\u0103 se confrunt\u0103 cu ascensiunea partidelor populiste nemul\u0163umite de politicile Bruxelles-ului \u015fi care pledeaz\u0103 pentru rec\u0103p\u0103tarea independen\u0163ei na\u0163ionale&#8221;, apreciaz\u0103 analistul Ferdinand Mount, remarc\u00e2nd gardurile antimigra\u0163ie construite la propriu \u00een Europa Central\u0103, la intrarea britanic\u0103 \u00een Eurotunel \u015fi la frontiera Statelor Unite cu Mexicul.<\/p>\n<p>\n<strong>Amenin\u0163area reprezentat\u0103 de organiza\u0163ia terorist\u0103 Stat Islamic<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\nWalter Russell Mead, profesor la Colegiul Bard \u015fi analist la Institutul Hudson, spune, la r\u00e2ndul s\u0103u, c\u0103 ultimii doi ani au fost plini de surprize, majoritatea nepl\u0103cute, \u00een Orientul Mijlociu, iar 2016 nu pare a fi diferit. Combina\u0163ia de conflict \u00eentre \u015fii\u0163i \u015fi sunni\u0163i, interven\u0163ia Rusiei pentru sus\u0163inerea regimului Bashar al-Assad, competi\u0163ia geopolitic\u0103 \u00eentre Arabia Saudit\u0103 \u015fi Iran \u015fi cre\u015fterea riscurilor economice generate de sc\u0103derea pre\u0163ului petrolului vor crea un an dificil, at\u00e2t pe teren, c\u00e2t \u015fi pentru liderii americani, consider\u0103 acesta. <strong>&#8220;Dilema care a paralizat Washingtonul \u00een 2015 nu a fost \u00eenc\u0103 rezolvat\u0103: Administra\u0163ia Barack Obama nu a g\u0103sit \u00eenc\u0103 o solu\u0163ie de a lupta contra re\u0163elei teroriste Stat Islamic f\u0103r\u0103 a amplifica puterea Iranului \u015fi Rusiei&#8221;<\/strong>, explic\u0103 analistul.<\/p>\n<p>\n<strong>Rela\u0163iile SUA-China<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\nOrville Schell, analist la Centrul pentru Afaceri SUA-China al Institutului Asia Society, apreciaz\u0103 c\u0103 schimb\u0103rile climatice ofer\u0103 o oportunitate clasic\u0103 &#8211; un inamic comun care ar putea aduce o nou\u0103 perioad\u0103 de stabilitate \u00een rela\u0163iile americano-chineze.<\/p>\n<p>\n&#8220;Nivelul lipsei de \u00eencredere \u00eentre Washington \u015fi Beijing este foarte ridicat \u00een aceste zile. Disensiunile s-au multiplicat \u00een ultimii ani, Statele Unite bloc\u00e2nd ambi\u0163iile teritoriale ale Chinei, dezaprob\u00e2nd rela\u0163iile bune dintre pre\u015fedin\u0163ii Xi Jinping \u015fi Vladimir Putin \u015fi eforturile de amplificare a puterii militare chineze. \u00cen plus, r\u0103m\u00e2ne o disparitate enorm\u0103 \u00eentre sistemele politice \u015fi \u00eentre valorile celor dou\u0103 \u0163\u0103ri. Apare \u00eens\u0103 o raz\u0103 de lumin\u0103 pe acest tablou complicat, un loc \u00een care interesele na\u0163ionale americane \u015fi chineze sunt aliniate: schimb\u0103rile climatice. Pre\u015fedin\u0163ii Barack Obama \u015fi Xi Jinping au \u00eenceput deja s\u0103 identifice elemente comune care au contribuit la recentul succes par\u0163ial al conferin\u0163ei ONU de la Paris&#8221;, comenteaz\u0103 Orville Schell.<\/p>\n<p>\n<strong>Popularitatea lui Francois Hollande \u015fi a Angelei Merkel, \u00een sc\u0103dere din cauza crizelor<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\nChristopher Caldwell, editor senior la publica\u0163ia Weekly Standard, crede c\u0103, \u00een pofida unor crize precum cea a terorismului \u015fi cea a imigra\u0163iei, liderii Germaniei \u015fi Fran\u0163ei probabil se vor men\u0163ine la putere p\u00e2n\u0103 la alegerile din 2017.<\/p>\n<p>\n&#8220;Valul de atacuri teroriste din Fran\u0163a \u015fi afluxul de imigran\u0163i din Germania reprezint\u0103 provoc\u0103ri grave pentru cele dou\u0103 \u0163\u0103ri \u015fi pentru valorile esen\u0163iale ale Uniunii Europene. Ar exista tenta\u0163ia de a crede c\u0103 Administra\u0163ia Fran\u00e7ois Hollande \u015fi Guvernul Angela Merkel nu vor putea rezista p\u00e2n\u0103 la expirarea mandatelor, \u00een 2017. Dar pot rezista, prin blocarea anumitor tendin\u0163e spre revolte populare&#8221;, apreciaz\u0103 Christopher Caldwell.<\/p>\n<p>\n<a name=\"14949599!\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n<a name=\"14949500!\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Traiectoria mi\u015fc\u0103rilor populiste, eliminarea amenin\u0163\u0103rii reprezentate de organiza\u0163ia terorist\u0103 Stat Islamic, problemele de popularitate cu care se confrunt\u0103 liderii Germaniei \u015fi Fran\u0163ei sunt principalele evenimente interna\u0163ionale de urm\u0103rit \u00een 2016, scrie The Wall Street Journal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[42333,6280],"class_list":["post-130430","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-previziuni-2016","tag-wsj"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/130430","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=130430"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/130430\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=130430"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=130430"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=130430"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}