\n\u00cen prim\u0103var\u0103, SI cucerea Ramadi, capitala vastei provincii sunnite Al-Anbar, \u00een vestul Irakului, provoc\u00e2nd o \u00eenfr\u00e2ngere ustur\u0103toare armatei irakiene.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cens\u0103, recent, jihadi\u015ftii au cedat teren, pierz\u00e2nd ora\u015fele irakiene Baiji \u015fi Sinjar, iar duminic\u0103 Ramadi.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen Siria, SI a pierdut, de asemenea, la sf\u00e2r\u015fitul lui decembrie, controlul asupra Barajului Tishrin (nord), \u00een fa\u0163a unei coali\u0163ii militare arabo-kurde care a privat astfel gruparea de o surs\u0103 de venituri strategic\u0103.<\/p>\n
\nSubminarea credibilit\u0103\u0163ii<\/strong><\/p>\n \n“Pentru SI, care se revendic\u0103 drept un stat, controlul asupra ora\u015felor \u015fi infrastructurilor cheie este important, \u00eens\u0103 \u00eenfr\u00e2ngeri (recente) submineaz\u0103 credibilitatea acestei revendic\u0103ri”, apreciaz\u0103 Firas Abi Ali, un analist de la Institutul IHS Jane’s, specializat \u00een probleme de ap\u0103rare, cu sediul la Londra.<\/p>\n \n“SI este \u00een continuare capabil s\u0103 lanseze atacuri \u00een Irak, f\u0103r\u0103 Ramadi, un ora\u015f mai important pentru for\u0163ele irakiene de securitate dec\u00e2t pentru SI”, apreciaz\u0103 Patrick Martin, un analist de la Institute for the Study of War, cu sediul la Washington.<\/p>\n \nJihadi\u015ftii au reu\u015fit s\u0103 evacueze un num\u0103r mare de vehicule \u015fi arme \u00eenainte de B\u0103t\u0103lia de la Ramadi, a declarat pentru AFP un ofi\u0163er de rang \u00eenalt din cadrul for\u0163elor de elit\u0103 antiteroriste, care au luptat \u00een prima linie pentru cucerirea ora\u015fului.<\/p>\n \nC\u00e2\u015ftigarea unor b\u0103t\u0103lii, chiar dac\u0103 sunt de un interes strategic minor, r\u0103m\u00e2ne important\u0103 pentru moralul tupelor care lupt\u0103 contra SI, subliniaz\u0103 Patrick Skinner din cadrul cabinetului de consultan\u0163\u0103 Soufan Group, specializat \u00een informa\u0163ii secrete.<\/p>\n \n“Mai pu\u0163in triumfalist”<\/strong><\/p>\n \n\u00cen opinia sa, ultimul mesaj audio al liderului autoproclamat al SI Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, de s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na trecut\u0103, este “mai pu\u0163in triumfalist” dec\u00e2t cele dinainte.<\/p>\n \n“Popularitatea retoricii antisioniste \u00een regiune \u00eei face pe dictatori s\u0103 cread\u0103 c\u0103 ea este o garan\u0163ie a sus\u0163inerii din partea mul\u0163imilor. Ei o utilizeaz\u0103 pentru a(-\u015fi) deturna (popula\u0163ia) de la alte probleme”, analizeaz\u0103 el.<\/p>\n \nDincolo de recunoa\u015fterea unor puncte c\u00e2\u015ftigate sau pierdute de fiecare dintre p\u0103r\u0163i, mul\u0163i exper\u0163i analizeaz\u0103 noua ecua\u0163ie militar\u0103 care a condus la recentele victorii contra SI.<\/p>\n \nLa Sinjar, fac\u0163iuni rivale kurde, sus\u0163inute aerian de coali\u0163ia interna\u0163ional\u0103 anti-SI condus\u0103 de c\u0103tre Statele Unite, i-au dat pe jihadi\u015fti afar\u0103 din ora\u015f.<\/p>\n \n\u00cen nordul Siriei, tot combatan\u0163i kurzi au fost v\u00e2rful de lance \u00een lupta contra SI.<\/p>\n \n\u00cens\u0103 Ramadi a fost recucerit exclusiv de for\u0163e federale irakiene, f\u0103r\u0103 implicarea unor grup\u0103ri paramilitare \u015fiite, care au jucat p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een prezent un rol central \u00een R\u0103zboiul \u00eempotriva Statului Islamic.<\/p>\n \n“Restaurarea capacit\u0103\u0163ii for\u0163elor irakiene este foarte important\u0103 \u015fi ar putea deveni un model pentru ofensivele viitoare”, subliniaz\u0103 Abi Ali.<\/p>\n \n“Recucerirea metodic\u0103 a (ora\u015fului) Ramadi, cu acoperirea aerian\u0103 a coali\u0163iei care a limitat mi\u015fc\u0103rile SI (…) \u00een cartiere, \u015fi-a dovedit eficien\u0163a. O metod\u0103 care ar putea s\u0103 fie folosit\u0103 din nou la Fallujah”, bastionul jihadist situat \u00eentre Ramadi \u015fi Bagdad, analizeaz\u0103 Skinner.<\/p>\n \nPremierul irakian Haider Al-Abadi s-a angajat luni s\u0103-\u015fi elibereze \u0163ara de SI \u00een 2016.<\/p>\n \n\u00cen opinia lui Abi Ali, for\u0163ele kurde siriene se vor confrunta cu dificult\u0103\u0163i \u00een avansarea c\u0103tre Rakka, capitala de facto a jihadi\u015ftilor \u00een Siria.<\/p>\n \nDac\u0103 \u00eenfr\u00e2ngerile se multiplic\u0103 – at\u00e2t \u00een Siria, c\u00e2t \u015fi \u00een Irak – SI ar putea s\u0103 vad\u0103 \u00een Libia un loc de repliere. Organiza\u0163ia de\u0163ine controlul asupra ora\u015fului Sirt, situat la 450 de kilometri est de Tripoli.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Gruparea Statul Islamic (SI) a suferit o serie de \u00eenfr\u00e2ngeri \u00een ultimele luni – at\u00e2t \u00een Siria, c\u00e2t \u015fi \u00een Irak -, ultima duminic\u0103 la Ramadi, \u00eens\u0103 aceast\u0103 organiza\u0163ie jihadist\u0103 este departe de a fi \u00eenvins\u0103, apreciaz\u0103 unii exper\u0163i, relateaz\u0103 AFP \u00een pagina electronic\u0103.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[7250,21083,38110],"class_list":["post-130369","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-irak","tag-siria","tag-statul-islamic"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/130369","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=130369"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/130369\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=130369"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=130369"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=130369"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}