{"id":125839,"date":"2015-08-18T13:06:20","date_gmt":"2015-08-18T13:06:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=125839"},"modified":"2015-08-18T13:06:20","modified_gmt":"2015-08-18T13:06:20","slug":"isarescu-cresterea-economica-de-4-atinge-limita-de-potential-trebuie-stimulate-investitiile","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=125839","title":{"rendered":"Is\u0103rescu: Cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 de 4% atinge limita de poten\u0163ial, trebuie stimulate investi\u0163iile"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nCre\u015fterea economic\u0103 de 4% se \u00eendreapt\u0103 spre limita poten\u0163ialului economic actual, iar stimularea consumului \u00een propor\u0163ii mari, prin reducerea masiv\u0103 de taxe \u00een acela\u015fi timp, pune \u00een pericol echilibrele macroeconomice, atrage aten\u0163ia guvernatorul BNR, Mugur Is\u0103rescu, care pune accent pe investi\u0163ii.<\/p>\n<p>\n&#8220;Nu trebuie s\u0103 stimul\u0103m con\u00adsu\u00admul \u00een propor\u0163ii care pericliteaz\u0103 toate echilibrele macro\u00adeco\u00adnomice at\u00e2t de greu ob\u0163inute. \u00cen interpretarea noas\u00adtr\u0103, la Banca Na\u0163ional\u0103, cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 de 4% este spre limita poten\u0163ialului economic al momentului. A sti\u00admu\u00adla doar pe latura consumului o economie aflat\u0103 \u00een cre\u015f\u00adtere spre limita de poten\u0163ial \u00eenseamn\u0103 a o dopa \u015fi as\u00adta nu o face s\u0103 creasc\u0103 s\u0103n\u0103tos, puternic \u015fi durabil&#8221;, a declarat Is\u0103rescu \u00eentr-un interviu publicat mar\u0163i \u00een Revista 22.<\/p>\n<p>\nEl a punctat c\u0103 economia rom\u00e2neasc\u0103 a primit \u00een ultimii doi ani o sui\u00adt\u0103 de stimuli, precum TVA redus\u0103 pentru produsele de panifica\u0163ie, care a fost extins\u0103 ulterior la toate alimentele, reducerea CAS, dar \u015fi dob\u00e2nzile care au cobor\u00e2t &#8220;masiv&#8221; \u015fi finan\u0163area ieftin\u0103, m\u0103suri care au avut efecte benefice.<\/p>\n<p>\n&#8220;Mai este nevoie de stimulente suplimentare? Trebuie s\u0103 ne g\u00e2n\u00addim dac\u0103 \u00een perioada urm\u0103toare cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 depinde doar de stimularea cererii, \u015fi nu de stimularea ofertei. PIB-ul poten\u0163ial al Rom\u00e2niei, \u00een jurul c\u0103ruia se dis\u00adcut\u0103 foarte mult, nu este, \u00eentr-adev\u0103r, o dimensiune u\u015for de evaluat, dar mai precis c\u0103 majorarea lui depinde de crearea de locuri de munc\u0103, de cre\u015fterea pro\u00adduc\u00adti\u00advi\u00adt\u0103\u00ad\u0163ii, care la r\u00e2ndul lor depind de investi\u0163ii de capital, ino\u00adva\u0163ie, spirit antreprenorial, calificarea for\u0163ei de munc\u0103 etc&#8221;, a precizat guvernatorul.<\/p>\n<p>\nIs\u0103rescu a explicat c\u0103 avansul eco\u00adnomi\u00adc nu depinde dec\u00e2t \u00een anumite situa\u0163ii de stimularea ce\u00adre\u00adrii prin majorarea deficitelor fiscale. Astfel, \u00een anumite faze ale ciclului economic, cre\u015fterea PIB se poate ob\u0163ine prin im\u00adpulsuri fiscale care s\u0103 stimuleze cererea, dar numai c\u00e2nd economia este \u00een recesiune, nu c\u00e2nd cre\u015fte la un nivel aproape de poten\u0163ial.<\/p>\n<p>\n&#8220;Acum probabil c\u0103 ar trebui stimula\u0163i, cu m\u0103sur\u0103 \u015fi dup\u0103 ana\u00adlize atente de impact, factorii care duc la cre\u015fterea in\u00advesti\u0163iilor, la cre\u015fterea productivit\u0103\u0163ii, la crearea de lo\u00adcuri de munc\u0103&#8221;, a mai spus \u015feful b\u0103ncii centrale.<\/p>\n<p>\nEl a reiterat ideea c\u0103 dimenisunea pachetului de m\u0103suri fiscale prev\u0103zute \u00een Codul Fiscal este de propor\u0163ii prea mari, mai ales dac\u0103 sunt aplicate \u00een acela\u015fi timp, cu impact major asupra economiei din perspectiva deficitului creat.<\/p>\n<p>\n&#8220;Consiliul de Administra\u0163ie al BNR s-a pronun\u0163at \u00een una\u00adnimitate \u00een ceea ce prive\u015fte pachetul celor \u015fase m\u0103\u00adsuri de reducere de taxe, care \u00eenseamn\u0103 un deficit cu\u00admu\u00adlat de circa 2,3% din PIB. Acest impact nu este deloc mic, cum apare la prima vedere, pentru c\u0103 2 (doi) este o ci\u00adfr\u0103 mic\u0103. Impactul acestor m\u0103suri duce deficitul bu\u00adge\u00adtar spre 3%, fa\u0163\u0103 de 1% \u00een prezent, f\u0103r\u0103 a lua \u00een calcul even\u00adtuala majorare a cheltuielilor salariale, a pensiilor, a cheltuielilor cu infrastructura, cu situa\u0163ia din agri\u00adcu\u00adl\u00adtu\u00adr\u0103&#8221;, a men\u0163ionat Is\u0103rescu.<\/p>\n<p>\nPartidele parlamentare se vor \u00eent\u00e2lni pe 20 august pentru consult\u0103ri privind reexaminarea Codului Fiscal, care urmeaz\u0103 s\u0103 fie votat \u00een sesiunea extraparlamentar\u0103 programat\u0103 s\u0103 \u00eenceap\u0103 pe 24 august. Parlamentul va fi convocat \u00eentr-o sesiune extraordinar\u0103 \u00een perioada 24-26 august pentru a discuta cererea pre\u015fedintelui Iohannis de reexaminare a Codului Fiscal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 de 4% se \u00eendreapt\u0103 spre limita poten\u0163ialului economic actual, iar stimularea consumului \u00een propor\u0163ii mari, prin reducerea masiv\u0103 de taxe \u00een acela\u015fi timp, pune \u00een pericol echilibrele macroeconomice, atrage aten\u0163ia guvernatorul BNR, Mugur Is\u0103rescu, care pune accent pe investi\u0163ii. &#8220;Nu trebuie s\u0103 stimul\u0103m con\u00adsu\u00admul \u00een propor\u0163ii care pericliteaz\u0103 toate echilibrele macro\u00adeco\u00adnomice at\u00e2t de [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[190,149,18505,7464,10130,13009],"class_list":["post-125839","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-crestere-economica","tag-investitii","tag-limitare","tag-mugur-isarescu","tag-potential","tag-stimulare"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125839","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=125839"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125839\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=125839"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=125839"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=125839"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}