{"id":125322,"date":"2015-08-04T18:19:41","date_gmt":"2015-08-04T18:19:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=125322"},"modified":"2026-04-04T17:32:53","modified_gmt":"2026-04-04T17:32:53","slug":"isarescu-nu-vede-riscul-unei-deflatii-desi-urmeaza-3-trimestre-cu-inflatie-negativa-creste-consumul","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=125322","title":{"rendered":"Is\u0103rescu nu vede riscul unei defla\u0163ii, de\u015fi urmeaz\u0103 3 trimestre cu infla\u0163ie negativ\u0103: Cre\u015fte consumul"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n<strong>&#8220;R\u0103spunsul este nu \u015fi am dou\u0103 argumente. Grosul acestei dezinfla\u0163ii, \u00eentr-adev\u0103r de tip \u00ab\u015foc\u00bb, cred c\u0103 este foarte important\u0103, vine nu at\u00e2t din eventuala reducerea TVA de la 24% la 19% &#8211; noi am luat-o \u00een considerare, nu este \u00eentr-adev\u0103r cert\u0103, din timp ce procesul legislativ nu s-a terminat, dar nu putem s\u0103 n-o lu\u0103m \u00een considerare \u00een scenariul nostru, &#8211; dar grosul dezinfla\u0163iei vine tot de la TVA redus la alimente, pentru c\u0103 ponderea alimentelor \u00een indicele pre\u0163urilor de consum din Rom\u00e2nia este foarte mare. Deci nu este neap\u0103rat o noutate, am spus doar c\u0103 s-a accentuat&#8221;,<\/strong> a afirmat mar\u0163i guvernatorul BNR, Mugur Is\u0103rescu, la briefingul de pres\u0103 dup\u0103 \u015fedin\u0163a CA pe probleme de politic\u0103 monetar\u0103, fiind \u00eentrebat dac\u0103 exist\u0103 pericolul intr\u0103rii \u00eentr-o perioad\u0103 de defla\u0163ie.<\/p>\n<p>\nEl a ar\u0103tat c\u0103 dezinfla\u0163ia s-a mai accentuat pentru c\u0103 BNR a calculat un indicator de transmisie a reducerii TVA la alimente de 60% \u00een sc\u0103derea pre\u0163urilor, \u00eens\u0103 \u00een realitate a fost mult mai mare.<\/p>\n<p>\n<strong>&#8220;\u015ei perioada a fost bine aleas\u0103 pentru c\u0103 s-a suprapus cu o ofert\u0103 mare de produse. Credem c\u0103 aceast\u0103 m\u0103sur\u0103 a fost fericit\u0103 \u015fi pentru c\u0103 s-a adresat unui sector al economiei unde exist\u0103 capacit\u0103\u0163i de produc\u0163ie, deci unde ai ajutat economia intern\u0103 s\u0103 reac\u0163ioneze pozitiv&#8221;,<\/strong> a spus Is\u0103rescu.<\/p>\n<p>\nAl doilea argument \u00eempotriva intr\u0103rii \u00een defla\u0163iei \u00eel reprezint\u0103 cre\u015fterea de 6% a consumului, care ar putea ajunge spre 10% p\u00e2n\u0103 la sf\u00e2r\u015fitul anului.<\/p>\n<p>\n<strong>&#8220;Defla\u0163ia are o alt\u0103 component\u0103, pe care o explic din nou: se \u00eent\u00e2re\u015fte ideea \u00een mintea oamenilor c\u0103 pre\u0163urile vor sc\u0103dea din nou, \u015fi din nou, \u015fi din nou \u015fi atunci se am\u00e2n\u0103 consumul pentru a prinde pre\u0163uri mai sc\u0103zute. Pericolul nu este sc\u0103derea pre\u0163urilor, cine nu dore\u015fte sc\u0103derea pre\u0163urilor?! Pericolul defla\u0163ionist \u00eel constituie reducerea gradual\u0103, dar accentuat\u0103 a consumului de natur\u0103 s\u0103 reduc\u0103 cererea \u015fi s\u0103 descurajeze cre\u015fterea eocnomic\u0103. Nu suntem \u00een aceast\u0103 situa\u0163ie. Avem cre\u015ftere de consum, avem cre\u015ftere economic\u0103&#8221;, <\/strong>a \u00eent\u0103rit \u015feful BNR.<\/p>\n<p>\nEl a punctat c\u0103 reprezentan\u0163ii b\u0103ncii centrale au observat \u00een spatele acestei ecran\u0103ri c\u0103 se contureaz\u0103 presiuni infla\u0163ioniste, provenite din cre\u015fterile foarte mari de salarii pentru bugetari anun\u0163ate deja de Guvern.<\/p>\n<p>\n<strong>&#8220;7-8-10% pentru o economie este o cre\u015ftere salarial\u0103, pe medie, mare \u015fi s-a dat deja drumul la acest st\u0103vilar al anticipa\u0163iilor, vor fi cre\u015fteri \u015fi mai mari. \u00cen consecin\u0163\u0103, cu greu po\u0163i s\u0103 te g\u00e2nde\u015fti c\u0103 vei avea la nivelul economiei rom\u00e2ne\u015fti cre\u015fteri de productivitate de 10%. Acest decalaj se va duce undeva, probabil c\u0103 se va duce \u00een anumite cre\u015fteri de pre\u0163uri. Ele acum vor fi ecranate de sc\u0103derea pre\u0163urilor la alimente \u015fi de indicatorul statistic&#8221;,<\/strong> a mai spus Is\u0103rescu.<\/p>\n<p>\n<a name=\"14663558!\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n<a name=\"14663482!\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n<a name=\"14663167!\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Economia nu risc\u0103 s\u0103 intre \u00een defla\u0163ie, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere c\u0103 infla\u0163ia se va situa \u00een teritoriu negativ \u00een viitoarele trei trimestre, \u00eentruc\u00e2t consumul cre\u015fte cu 6% \u015fi poate ajunge la 10% p\u00e2n\u0103 la finele anului, exist\u00e2nd chiar presiuni infla\u0163ioniste dup\u0103 cre\u015fterea salariilor, potrivit guvernatorului BNR, Mugur Is\u0103rescu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[185,184],"class_list":["post-125322","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-bnr","tag-inflatie"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125322","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=125322"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125322\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":125334,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/125322\/revisions\/125334"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=125322"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=125322"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=125322"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}