{"id":120462,"date":"2015-04-09T15:19:16","date_gmt":"2015-04-09T15:19:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=120462"},"modified":"2015-04-09T15:19:16","modified_gmt":"2015-04-09T15:19:16","slug":"economisti-romania-va-putea-adera-la-zona-euro-cel-mai-probabil-dupa-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=120462","title":{"rendered":"Economi\u015fti: Rom\u00e2nia va putea adera la zona euro, cel mai probabil, dup\u0103 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"

\n“Anul 2019 era un obiectiv foarte ambi\u0163ios, f\u0103r\u0103 \u00eendoial\u0103, el a fost \u00eens\u0103 un obiectiv pur \u015fi simplu lansat, dar f\u0103r\u0103 a avea o agend\u0103 de parcurs. Ca s\u0103 fie fezabil acel 2019 trebuia s\u0103 venim urgent cu o agend\u0103 de reforme structurale pe care trebuie s-o implement\u0103m, care s\u0103 ne duc\u0103 la o convergen\u0163\u0103 real\u0103 s\u0103n\u0103toas\u0103, sustenabil\u0103 pe termen lung \u015fi s\u0103 ne men\u0163inem \u00een acela\u015fi timp echilibrele macroeconomice, adic\u0103 noi putem avea o convergen\u0163\u0103 real\u0103, deci cu cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 mai mare dec\u00e2t anticip\u0103m printr-o stimulare fiscal\u0103, dar care dac\u0103 produce dezechilibre, n-am f\u0103cut nimic”<\/strong>, a declarat joi Ionu\u0163 Dumitru, pre\u015fedintele Consiliului Fiscal \u015fi economistul \u015fef al Raiffeisen Bank, la dezbaterea cu tema “Zona Euro \u00eencotro?” organizat\u0103 de BNR.<\/p>\n

\nAstfel, cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 nu este de durat\u0103 \u015fi se va corecta la un moment dat, Dumitru d\u00e2nd exemplul cre\u015fterilor de 7%-8% dinaintea crizei, urmate de necesitatea de a ajusta dezechilibrele create, ceea ce s-a tradus \u00een “doi pa\u015fi \u00eenainte, trei pa\u015fi \u00eenapoi”, situa\u0163ie care nu este de dorit.<\/p>\n

\nEl a punctat c\u0103 2019 era un termen extrem de ambi\u0163ios, iar \u00een cel mai fericit scenariu, \u00een care politicile economice sunt coerente \u015fi exist\u0103 o agend\u0103 de reforme strucurale care este \u015fi urmat\u0103, adoptarea euro s-ar putea realiza dup\u0103 2020.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n“Important ca orizontul de adoptare s\u0103 fie unul credibil \u015fi, mai mult dec\u00e2t at\u00e2t, s\u0103 fie unul la care s\u0103 ne \u015fi ancor\u0103m, adic\u0103 s\u0103 avem o ancorare adev\u0103rat\u0103 a politicilor economice, \u00een sensul \u00een care s\u0103 avem o agend\u0103 foarte bine stabilit\u0103, s\u0103 \u015ftim foarte bine ce avem de f\u0103cut, pentru c\u0103 altfel nu r\u0103m\u00e2ne dec\u00e2t un obiectiv, o dorin\u0163\u0103 care nu este ancorat\u0103 \u00een realitate”, spune Dumitru.<\/p>\n

\nP\u0103rerea lui privind termenul de aderare la zona euro este sus\u0163inut\u0103 \u015fi de analistul financiar Florin C\u00ee\u0163u, \u00eens\u0103 el atrage aten\u0163ia c\u0103 Rom\u00e2nia trebuie s\u0103 decid\u0103 dac\u0103 va realiza convergen\u0163a real\u0103 \u00eenainte de aderare, av\u00e2nd avantajul unei politici monetare foarte independente, sau \u00een cadrul zonei euro, c\u00e2nd acest avantaj se pierde.<\/p>\n

\n“Mai avem c\u00e2\u0163iva ani p\u00e2n\u0103 la zona euro. Rom\u00e2nia trebuie s\u0103 \u00een\u0163eleag\u0103 c\u0103 nu po\u0163i s\u0103 scapi de reforma real\u0103, convergen\u0163a real\u0103 trebuie f\u0103cut\u0103. Trebuie s\u0103 decizi dac\u0103 o faci \u00een afara zonei euro, c\u00e2nd ai o politic\u0103 monetar\u0103 foarte independent\u0103, sau \u00een interiorul zonei euro, c\u00e2nd nu mai ai o politic\u0103 monetar\u0103 independent\u0103, aici trebuie s\u0103 ducem discu\u0163ia \u00een spa\u0163iul public”, apreciaz\u0103 C\u00ee\u0163u.<\/p>\n

\nEl a precizat ulterior c\u0103 Rom\u00e2nia ar putea adopta euro cel mai devreme dup\u0103 2020.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\nLa r\u00e2ndul s\u0103u, economistul \u015fef al BCR, Radu Cr\u0103ciun, spune c\u0103 odat\u0103 cu accesul \u00een zona euro Rom\u00e2nia va fi for\u0163at\u0103 s\u0103 convearg\u0103 cu aceasta \u015fi va beneficia, de fapt, de pe urma acestui lucru, d\u00e2nd exemplul integr\u0103rii \u00een UE pe un principiu similar.<\/p>\n

\n“Dar o integrare monetar\u0103 pripit\u0103, a\u015fa cum a dovedit-o crearea zonei euro, f\u0103r\u0103 ni\u015fte minime fundamente economice de competitivitate, politice duce \u00eentr-o \u00eenfund\u0103tur\u0103. Din punctul nostru de vedere, cred c\u0103 ar trebui s\u0103 fim foarte aten\u0163i ce ne dorim, pentru c\u0103 s-ar putea s\u0103 se \u00eent\u00e2mple”, a men\u0163ionat Cr\u0103ciun.<\/p>\n

\nDumitru apreciaz\u0103 c\u0103 Rom\u00e2nia nu are dec\u00e2t o singur\u0103 variant\u0103, aceea de a respecta regulile, \u00eens\u0103 totodat\u0103 acestea trebuie bine g\u00e2ndite, iar to\u0163i factorii din Rom\u00e2nia implica\u0163i trebuie s\u0103 \u00een\u0163eleag\u0103 ce \u00eenseamn\u0103 acele reguli pentru \u0163ar\u0103 \u015fi economie.<\/p>\n

\n“Spre exemplu, noi am semnat Compactul fiscal, nu prea am \u00een\u0163eles ce \u00eenseamn\u0103 lucrul acesta pentru noi \u015fi nici acum nu prea \u00eel \u00een\u0163elegem. Eu r\u0103m\u00e2n stupefiat c\u00e2nd v\u0103d c\u0103 oameni de la care te-ai a\u015ftepta s\u0103 \u00een\u0163eleag\u0103, deciden\u0163i de politici economice, care nu \u00een\u0163eleg ce \u00eenseamn\u0103 deficit structural \u015fi care sunt limitele pentru noi \u015fi c\u0103 \u00een anii urm\u0103tori, c\u00e2nd economia va fi peste poten\u0163ial, noi va trebui s\u0103 avem excedente<\/strong>“, spune pre\u015fedintele Consiliului Fiscal.<\/p>\n

\nEl a subliniat c\u0103 Rom\u00e2nia poate participa la crearea regulilor la nivel european prin reprezentan\u0163ii s\u0103i la forurile europene, \u00eens\u0103 ace\u015ftia au problema c\u0103 nu \u00een\u0163eleg de ce sunt trimi\u015fi acolo, de\u015fi lucreaz\u0103 pe salarii mari, nu \u00een\u0163eleg ce se discut\u0103 \u015fi nu se implic\u0103 activ.<\/p>\n

\n“Noi trimitem oameni la Parlamentul European care se duc acolo doar \u00een concediu, pe bani foarte mul\u0163i \u015fi nu prea \u00een\u0163eleg de ce sunt acolo \u015fi pe cine reprezint\u0103 \u015fi ce se discut\u0103 acolo. Cred c\u0103 trebuie s\u0103 trecem de bariera asta \u015fi s\u0103 \u00een\u0163elegem c\u0103 acolo avem interes major \u015fi avem nevoie de oameni care \u00een\u0163eleg ce se discut\u0103 \u015fi s\u0103 participe activ at\u00e2t c\u00e2t se poate, dat fiind statutul nostru la scar\u0103 european\u0103, dar cu argumente, s\u0103 putem participa la masa deciziilor. Altfel, suntem ai nim\u0103nui, ca s\u0103 spun a\u015fa”, a conchis Dumitru.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Adoptarea euro va avea loc cel mai devreme dup\u0103 2020, \u00eentruc\u00e2t termenul asumat politic, 2019, a fost unul formal, f\u0103r\u0103 ca autorit\u0103\u0163ile s\u0103 aib\u0103 o agend\u0103 \u015fi o strategie bine definit\u0103, \u00een condi\u0163iile \u00een care \u00een 2016 Rom\u00e2nia ar trebui s\u0103 intre deja \u00een Mecanismul ratelor de schimb, consider\u0103 economi\u015ftii.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[23002,13253],"class_list":["post-120462","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-adoptare-euro","tag-termen"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120462","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=120462"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120462\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=120462"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=120462"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=120462"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}