\nScenariul de baz\u0103 privind evolu\u0163ia economic\u0103 din Rusia ia \u00een calcul un pre\u0163 mediu al petrolului de 53 dolari\/baril, se arat\u0103 \u00eentr-un raport al B\u0103ncii Mondiale, intitulat “R\u0103s\u0103ritul unei noi ere?”.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen situa\u0163ia \u00een care pre\u0163ul petrolului va sc\u0103dea la 45 dolari\/baril, PIB-ul Rusiei se va contracta \u00een acest an cu 4,6%, potrivit institu\u0163iei bancare. Alternativ, o cota\u0163ie medie apropiat\u0103 de cea actual\u0103, de aproximativ 65 dolari\/baril, ar putea \u00eencetini sc\u0103derea economiei la 2,9%.<\/strong><\/p>\n \nEconomia Rusiei a fost puternic afectat\u0103 \u00een ultimul an de sc\u0103derea cota\u0163iilor petrolului, dar \u015fi de deprecierea semnificativ\u0103 a rublei fa\u0163\u0103 de dolar \u015fi euro \u015fi de sanc\u0163iunile economice interna\u0163ionale, care au limitat accesul companiilor ruse\u015fti la finan\u0163are pe pie\u0163ele externe, \u00een replic\u0103 la decizia Moscovei de a anexa Crimeea.<\/p>\n \nInstitu\u0163ia bancar\u0103 apreciaz\u0103 c\u0103 sanc\u0163iunile \u00eempotriva Rusiei vor continua s\u0103 afecteze negativ evolu\u0163ia economiei.<\/p>\n \n“Declinul pre\u0163ului petrolului \u015fi setul de sanc\u0163iuni mai stricte s-au produs spre finele anului 2014, astfel c\u0103 efectul asupra economiei Rusiei a \u00eenceput s\u0103 fie resim\u0163it \u00een ultimul trimestru al anului. Este probabil ca impactul s\u0103 fie mai puternic \u00een acest an \u015fi \u00een 2016”, potrivit raportului.<\/p>\n \nBanca Mondial\u0103 a salutat reac\u0163iile “rapide \u015fi adecvate” ale B\u0103ncii Rusiei \u015fi ale guvernului de la Moscova la \u015focurile economice \u015fi politice din 2014, care au ajutat Rusia s\u0103 evite intrarea \u00een recesiune.<\/strong><\/p>\n \nCu toate acestea, nivelul ridicat al infla\u0163iei, precum \u015fi sc\u0103derea consumului intern \u015fi a investi\u0163iilor vor avea o contribu\u0163ie negativ\u0103 la formarea PIB-ului \u00een acest an, potrivit raportului.<\/p>\n \nPentru 2016, Banca Mondial\u0103 estimeaz\u0103 o contrac\u0163ie economic\u0103 \u00een Rusia de 0,3%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Banca Mondial\u0103 a revizuit miercuri \u00een sc\u0103dere prognoza privind economia Rusiei, estim\u00e2nd o sc\u0103dere a produsului intern brut de 3,8%, mult peste declinul de 0,7% anticipat \u00een decembrie anul trecut, potrivit Wall Street Journal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[8665,365],"class_list":["post-120034","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-banca-mondiala","tag-rusia"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120034","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=120034"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120034\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=120034"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=120034"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=120034"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}