\nTotul \u00eembr\u0103cat \u00eentr-o coaj\u0103 dens\u0103 de fapte \u015fi povestiri \u015fi idei, ce \u00eencep, istorice\u015fte vorbind, din antichitate \u015fi se termin\u0103 \u00een timpurile moderne. Eroii nara\u0163iunii sunt c\u00e2t se poate de diver\u015fi, de la Florence Nightingale, infirmiera cu suflet de statistician, care s-a oferit s\u0103 finan\u0163eze o catedr\u0103 de statistic\u0103 aplicat\u0103 la Oxford (au refuzat-o!, \u015fi a \u00eencercat cam trei decenii) la Omar Khayam, poetul de geniu \u015fi matematician, trec\u00e2nd printr-o sumedenie de matematicieni \u015fi oameni de \u015ftiin\u0163\u0103: Pascal, Fermat, Gauss sau Bernoulli.<\/p>\n
\nDe altfel, Bernstein insist\u0103 pe \u015ftiin\u0163a matematicii \u015fi pe dezvoltarea teoriilor legate de statistici \u015fi probabilit\u0103\u0163i, demers explicabil, probabil, \u015fi prin dimensiunea sa de finan\u0163ist \u015fi investitor, \u00eentr-o perioad\u0103 \u00een care riscul era \u00een\u0163eles cumva altfel. Spun aceasta pentru c\u0103 Bernstein a publicat \u201d\u00cempotriva zeilor\u201e \u00een 1996, cu un an \u00eenainte s\u0103 apar\u0103 filmul \u201dWall Street\u201e \u00een care Michael Douglas s\u0103 decreteze c\u0103 \u201dl\u0103comia este bun\u0103!\u201e \u015fi, drept urmare, lumea s\u0103 se aventureze \u00eentr-o zon\u0103 nou\u0103 de crize economice. Vorbesc aici de pr\u0103bu\u015firea Long Term Capital Management, fond de investi\u0163ii condus de matematicieni \u015fi laurea\u0163i ai premiului Nobel care a \u00eenceput pe cai mari, dar a e\u015fuat lamentabil, de criza dot com din 2000 sau de criza subprime din 2007.<\/p>\n
\nDar cum autorul \u015fi scrierea sa, care a fost inclus\u0103 de cunoscutul site economic businessinsider.com \u00een lista celor mai importante 22 de c\u0103r\u0163i despre finan\u0163e scrise vreodat\u0103, nu au o leg\u0103tur\u0103 direct\u0103 cu crizele, s\u0103-i recunoa\u015ftem lui Bernstein rigoarea \u015fi pl\u0103cerea de a deslu\u015fi un subiect ajuns acum la mod\u0103, mai ales c\u0103, involuntar, cartea are un aer vag profetic, pentru c\u0103 ultimul capitol se nume\u015fte \u201d\u00cen a\u015fteptarea dezordinii\u201e. Dac\u0103 l-a\u0163i citit pe Nicholas Taleb \u015fi a sa \u201dLeb\u0103d\u0103 neagr\u0103\u201e, citi\u0163i-l \u015fi pe Bernstein, pentru c\u0103 mi se par a se situa unul la o extrem\u0103 \u015fi cel\u0103lalt la cel\u0103lalt cap\u0103t al certitudinii umane.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Premisa c\u0103r\u0163ii lui Peter L.Bernstein (1919 – 2009) este interesant\u0103: istoria modern\u0103 a \u00eenceput \u00een momentul C\u00c2ND oamenii au abandonat credin\u0163a c\u0103 zeii decid ceea ce se va \u00eent\u00e2mpla \u015fi au adoptat ideea c\u0103 pot prevedea riscurile \u015fi ac\u0163iona pentru atenuarea acestora. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7194],"tags":[27004,9060,7193,4147,182,274,242,21222,6266,15141,425],"class_list":["post-118350","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-carte","tag-abandon","tag-adoptare","tag-carte","tag-credinta","tag-criza","tag-incepere","tag-istorie","tag-lectura","tag-oameni","tag-riscuri","tag-statistica"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/118350","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=118350"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/118350\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=118350"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=118350"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=118350"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}