![\"\"](\"http:\/\/storage0.dms.mpinteractiv.ro\/media\/401\/341\/5544\/13795443\/14\/bbbb-copy-copy.jpg?height=465&width=620\")
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\nCriza, dac\u0103 putem s\u0103 o numim a\u015fa, a francului elve\u0163ian este, dincolo de nemul\u0163umiri, opinii, m\u0103suri \u015fi contram\u0103suri, o problem\u0103 de educa\u0163ie, care trebuie corelat\u0103 cu o mul\u0163ime de factori, de la modul \u00een care rom\u00e2nii traverseaz\u0103 strada la circula\u0163ia presei economice la noi \u015fi de la cifrele de audien\u0163\u0103 ale televiziunilor la apari\u0163ia lebedelor negre.<\/p>\n
\nLa un moment dat, destul de repede dup\u0103 cel de-al doilea r\u0103zboi mondial, for\u0163ele aeriene americane au angajat o companie independent\u0103 pentru varii studii legate de r\u0103zboiul atomic care p\u0103rea, \u00een acel moment, de neevitat. Unul dintre primele studii a fost condus de un matematician care a fost pus s\u0103 calculeze cele mai bune variante pentru o prim\u0103 lovitur\u0103 asupra Uniunii Sovietice.<\/p>\n
\nMatematicianul a folosit tehnici c\u00e2t se poate de moderne \u015fi \u00een 1950 a emis o variant\u0103 de strategie: \u00een locul unor bombardiere cu reac\u0163ie uria\u015fe, americanii ar trebui s\u0103 foloseasc\u0103 un num\u0103r uria\u015f de avioane ieftine, cu elice, din care cele mai multe nici m\u0103car nu ar transporta arme nucleare, ci ar urma s\u0103 fie folosite drept un soi de momeal\u0103. Num\u0103rul enorm de avioane ar deruta \u015fi ar cople\u015fi ap\u0103rarea sovietic\u0103, a conchis omul nostru. Ideea sa a \u00eenfuriat la culme \u015ftabii Air Force, o dat\u0103 pentru c\u0103 socoteau avioanele ieftine, cu elice, sub demnitatea lor, dar \u015fi pentru c\u0103 analizele de costuri \u015fi beneficii ale matematicianului nu \u0163ineau cont de vie\u0163ile omene\u015fti implicate \u00een atac, de echipaje. Iar planul ar fi costat mii, zeci de mii de vie\u0163i omene\u015fti, fapt inacceptabil pentru oficiali, fo\u015fti pilo\u0163i \u015fi ei. Matematicianul a trecut la idei mai pu\u0163in cre\u0163e, dar \u00eentrebarea a r\u0103mas: care este pre\u0163ul unei vie\u0163i omene\u015fti?<\/p>\n
\nZece ani mai t\u00e2rziu, Thomas Schelling, un economist care peste ani a luat premiul Nobel \u015fi un student al s\u0103u, fost pilot militar, a introdus \u00eentr-un articol ideea folosirii unei vie\u0163i statistice, o inversare a problemei, de fapt: c\u00e2t am fi dispu\u015fi s\u0103 cheltuim pentru a salva o via\u0163\u0103?! (Trebuie s\u0103 \u015fti\u0163i \u015fi c\u0103 Schelling a introdus, primul, sintagma \u201ecollateral damage\u201c.) Iar peste al\u0163i c\u00e2\u0163iva ani un statistician britanic \u015fi un profesor de la Stanford au tran\u015fat problema definitv, introduc\u00e2nd conceptele de \u201emicrolife\u201c \u015fi, respectiv, \u201emicromort\u201c, dou\u0103 unit\u0103\u0163i de m\u0103sur\u0103 a riscului. Prima descrie riscurile cumulate pentru o persoan\u0103 \u015fi este echivalent\u0103 cu circa o jum\u0103tate de or\u0103 de via\u0163\u0103; fumatul a patru \u0163ig\u0103ri, zilnic, consum\u0103 dou\u0103 microvie\u0163i, iar 20 de minute de sport ne \u201eaduc\u201c dou\u0103 microvie\u0163i\/zi. Micromort este posibilitatea de deces de unu la un milion: 100 de kilometri parcur\u015fi pe motociclet\u0103 \u00eenseamn\u0103 opt micromor\u0163i, dar aceea\u015fi distan\u0163\u0103 pe biciclet\u0103 se traduce prin doar dou\u0103 micromor\u0163i. Greu de crezut, dar unii le-au dat valori: \u00een analizele serviciului de s\u0103n\u0103tate britanic o microvia\u0163\u0103 cost\u0103 1,70 lire sterline, iar departamentul transporturilor cheltuie cam 1,60 lire sterline pentru a preveni o micromoarte. O aritmetic\u0103 ciudat\u0103 cea de mai sus, dar care ne \u00eendep\u0103rteaz\u0103 de orice abordare p\u0103tima\u015f\u0103, a\u015fa cum au reac\u0163ionat \u015fefii Air Force \u00een anii \u201850.<\/p>\n
\nCred c\u0103 la fel, f\u0103r\u0103 abord\u0103ri p\u0103tima\u015fe, ar trebui privit\u0103 criza francului; \u00een fond riscul valutar se \u00eenva\u0163\u0103 \u00een manuale \u015fi, din p\u0103cate, am tr\u0103it suficiente precedente, de la devaloriz\u0103rile din anii \u201890 la criza ruseasc\u0103 din 1998 sau la aprecierea leului din 2004, c\u00e2nd afecta\u0163i cu fost cei cu salarii \u00een valut\u0103 sau companiile care exportau. \u00cen Polonia clien\u0163ii care au luat credite \u00een moned\u0103 str\u0103in\u0103 a trebuit s\u0103 semneze o declara\u0163ie care ar\u0103ta c\u0103 au \u00een\u0163eles riscurile, \u015fi aveau, oricum, venituri mari, pentru c\u0103 doar ace\u015ftia puteau accede la respectivele credite – c\u00e2teva \u201emicromor\u0163i\u201c eliminate. Bancherii rom\u00e2ni le-au recomandat – \u201emicromor\u0163i\u201c \u00een plus. Clien\u0163ii spun c\u0103 nu au \u015ftiut \u015fi nu au fost informa\u0163i despre riscuri, dar de c\u00e2nd are banul doar o singur\u0103 fa\u0163\u0103?!<\/p>\n
\nNu insist, contabiliz\u0103m elementele unei culturi a s\u0103r\u0103ciei, puternic prezent\u0103 \u00een Rom\u00e2nia, \u015fi acesta este subiectul adev\u0103rat al acestui text. O cultur\u0103 a tunului, \u00een care bagi un euro \u015fi ob\u0163ii 5.000. O cultur\u0103 care \u00eemparte oamenii \u00een du\u015fi de nas \u015fi duc\u0103tori de nas, \u00een fraieri \u015fi \u015fmecheri. Care mai \u00eenseamn\u0103 eliminarea egalit\u0103\u0163ii \u015fanselor, idolatriz\u0103rile gratuite \u015fi folosirea de manipul\u0103ri grosolane. Credin\u0163a \u00een insul mesianic. Iner\u0163ie \u015fi imobilism \u015fi folosirea \u00een exces a ierarhiei n\u0103t\u00e2nge. Mul\u0163umirea de a supravie\u0163ui, f\u0103r\u0103 ambi\u0163ii. Micromor\u0163i \u00een plus \u015fi microvie\u0163i prea scumpe.<\/p>\n
\nIlustrez cu \u201e\u0162ara laptelui \u015fi a mierii\u201c, de Pieter Bruegel cel B\u0103tr\u00e2n, un tablou care l-a inspirat, peste ani, chiar \u015fi pe Freud.<\/p>\n
\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
C\u00e2ndva, \u00eenainte de revolu\u0163ie, tr\u0103iam \u00een fiecare zi un sentiment nepl\u0103cut, pe drumul de la munc\u0103 spre cas\u0103. Am reg\u0103sit acest sentiment \u00eentr-o sear\u0103, privind la televizor; a r\u0103mas la fel de nepl\u0103cut!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[529],"tags":[214,5453,7283,182,20541,32766,14862,7606,13028,80,17071,15141,173,8413,7853,8182],"class_list":["post-117335","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-opinii","tag-avioane","tag-casa","tag-costuri","tag-criza","tag-drum","tag-folosire","tag-introducere","tag-munca","tag-problema","tag-refuz","tag-revolutie","tag-riscuri","tag-romani","tag-scumpire","tag-studiu","tag-televizor"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117335","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=117335"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117335\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=117335"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=117335"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=117335"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}