{"id":116771,"date":"2015-01-20T13:56:01","date_gmt":"2015-01-20T13:56:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=116771"},"modified":"2015-01-20T13:56:01","modified_gmt":"2015-01-20T13:56:01","slug":"analiza-cutremure-politice-iminente-in-europa-in-2015","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=116771","title":{"rendered":"ANALIZ\u0102: Cutremure politice iminente \u00een Europa \u00een 2015"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nCre\u015fterea atractivit\u0103\u0163ii partidelor populiste le-ar putea aduce unora dintre ele victorii electorale \u015fi ar putea determina partidele principale s\u0103 \u00eencheie alian\u0163e la care alt\u0103dat\u0103 nu s-ar fi g\u00e2ndit. &#8220;<strong>Criza democra\u0163iei&#8221; din Europa este o pr\u0103pastie \u00eentre elite \u015fi votan\u0163i, sus\u0163ine EIU.<\/strong> Ratele slabe de participare la vot \u015fi sc\u0103derea accentuat\u0103 a num\u0103rului de membri ai partidelor tradi\u0163ionale sunt factori cheie ai acestui fenomen, relateaz\u0103 <a href=\"http:\/\/bbc.co.uk\" target=\"_blank\">BBC News Online<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\n<span style=\"color:#ff0000;\"><strong>Marea Britanie<\/strong><\/span>, unde vor avea loc alegeri \u00een mai, este &#8220;\u00een pragul unei poten\u0163iale perioade prelungite de instabilitate politic\u0103&#8221;, potrivit cercet\u0103torilor. Ei sus\u0163in c\u0103 exist\u0103 un risc mult mai mare dec\u00e2t de obicei ca alegerile s\u0103 genereze un Guvern instabil &#8211; anticip\u00e2nd c\u0103 populi\u015ftii din cadrul UKIP vor lua voturi at\u00e2t de la conservatori, c\u00e2t \u015fi de la laburi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>\nDar provocarea politic\u0103 imediat\u0103 &#8211; \u015fi m\u0103sura \u00een care populismul se traduce \u00een succesul la urne &#8211; este \u00een <span style=\"color:#ff0000;\"><strong>Grecia<\/strong><\/span>, unde vor avea loc alegeri legislative anticipate la 25 ianuarie. Sondajele de opinie sugereaz\u0103 c\u0103 partidul de st\u00e2nga populist Syriza ar putea deveni principala for\u0163\u0103 politic\u0103 din \u0163ar\u0103. Dac\u0103 se va \u00eent\u00e2mpla acest lucru \u015fi partidul va reu\u015fi s\u0103 formeze un Guvern, atunci acest lucru va trimite unde de \u015foc \u00een UE, iar situa\u0163ia respectiv\u0103 va func\u0163iona ca un catalizator pentru schimb\u0103ri politice \u015fi \u00een alte zone, sus\u0163ine EIU.<\/p>\n<p>\n&#8220;Alegerea unui Guvern Syriza va fi profund destabilizatoare, at\u00e2t la nivel intern c\u00e2t \u015fi regional. Aproape sigur va determina o criz\u0103 \u00een rela\u0163ia dintre Grecia \u015fi creditorii s\u0103i interna\u0163ionali, \u00een timp ce \u015ftergerea datoriei reprezint\u0103 unul dintre elementele de baz\u0103 ale platformei sale politice&#8221;, afirm\u0103 EIU. &#8220;Cu astfel de partide anti-sistem care c\u00e2\u015ftig\u0103 teren rapid \u00een numeroase alte \u0163\u0103ri ce urmeaz\u0103 s\u0103 aib\u0103 alegeri \u00een 2015, efectele contamin\u0103rii de la situa\u0163ia din Grecia ar putea fi semnificative&#8221;, adaug\u0103 EIU.<\/p>\n<p>\nAlte exemple de alegeri europene cu poten\u0163iale rezultate impredictibile citate de EIU sunt cele din <span style=\"color:#ff0000;\"><strong>Danemarca, Finlanda, Spania, Fran\u0163a, Suedia, Germania \u015fi Irlanda<\/strong><\/span>. &#8220;Exist\u0103 un numitor comun \u00een aceste \u0163\u0103ri: ascensiunea partidelor populiste&#8221;, afirm\u0103 EIU, ad\u0103ug\u00e2nd c\u0103 &#8220;sentimentul anti-sistem a crescut \u00een zona euro (\u015fi \u00een restul UE) iar riscul problemelor politice \u015fi al poten\u0163ialelor crize este mare&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>\nPotrivit analizei EIU, partidele \u015fi mi\u015fc\u0103rile populiste &#8211; de st\u00e2nga, de dreapta sau cu orientare nespecific\u0103 &#8211; se strecoar\u0103 \u00een spa\u0163iul care s-a creat \u00eentre partidele politice vechi \u015fi baza lor social\u0103 tradi\u0163ional\u0103. Opozi\u0163ia fa\u0163\u0103 de guvernarea UE, imigra\u0163ie \u015fi austeritate sunt teme cheie pentru multe dintre aceste partide.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00centre timp, al\u0103turi de ascensiunea mi\u015fc\u0103rilor populiste, a existat \u015fi o intensificare a protestelor populare \u00een multe p\u0103r\u0163i ale lumii \u00een ultimii ani. EIU estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 mi\u015fc\u0103ri de protest semnificative au ap\u0103rut \u00een peste 90 de \u0163\u0103ri \u00een ultimii cinci ani, conduse \u00een general de tineri educa\u0163i din clasa de mijloc, care \u00eei dispre\u0163uiesc pe liderii lor politici \u015fi care prefer\u0103 Twitter sau alte re\u0163ele de socializare platformelor politice tradi\u0163ionale.<\/p>\n<p>\n&#8220;Protestele populare s-au extins \u00een ultimi ani \u00een Europa, Orientul Mijlociu, Africa de Nord \u015fi America Latin\u0103. Alte regiuni precum Asia \u015fi America de Nord au fost mai pu\u0163in susceptibile, de\u015fi nu au sc\u0103pat \u00een totalitate&#8221;, afirm\u0103 EIU. &#8220;Cauzele protestelor au fost diferite &#8211; unele au fost ca r\u0103spuns la problemele economice, altele au fost o revolt\u0103 \u00eempotriva dictaturii; unele sunt expresia dorin\u0163ei populare de a-\u015fi face auzit\u0103 vocea de c\u0103tre elitele politice, altele exprim\u0103 aspira\u0163iile noii clase de mijloc \u00een fa\u0163a unor pie\u0163e emergente ce se dezvolt\u0103 rapid&#8221;, adaug\u0103 EIU. Toate aceste evolu\u0163ii ridic\u0103 \u00eentrebarea dac\u0103 ele reprezint\u0103 de fapt o amenin\u0163are la adresa democra\u0163iei sau dac\u0103 sunt dovada c\u0103 aceasta este vie \u015fi s\u0103n\u0103toas\u0103.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cutremurele politice pot fi iminente \u00een Europa \u00een 2015, pe fondul ascensiunii partidelor \u015fi mi\u015fc\u0103rilor populiste \u015fi al intensific\u0103rii protestelor popula\u0163iei, potrivit unei cercet\u0103ri realizate de Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[438,220],"class_list":["post-116771","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-europa","tag-politica"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116771","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=116771"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116771\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=116771"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=116771"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=116771"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}