{"id":113071,"date":"2014-10-19T20:05:00","date_gmt":"2014-10-19T20:05:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=113071"},"modified":"2014-10-19T20:05:00","modified_gmt":"2014-10-19T20:05:00","slug":"cel-mai-silentios-razboi-mondial-ieftinirea-petrolului","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=113071","title":{"rendered":"Cel mai silen\u0163ios r\u0103zboi mondial: ieftinirea petrolului"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nProduc\u0163ia de petrol a SUA se situeaz\u0103 la 8,7 mil. barili\/zi, recordul ultimelor decenii, \u00een timp ce \u0163\u0103ri OPEC ca Arabia Saudit\u0103 sau Kuweit au p\u0103rut \u00een sf\u00e2r\u015fit s\u0103 accepte pre\u0163uri mai mici, \u00een \u00eencercarea de a limita cre\u015fterea \u00een continuare a ofertei din partea SUA \u015fi deci pierderea de cot\u0103 de pia\u0163\u0103 de c\u0103tre ele. Agen\u0163ia Interna\u0163ional\u0103 a Energiei apreciaz\u0103 c\u0103 pre\u0163ul petrolului ar trebui s\u0103 scad\u0103 sub 80 dolari\/baril pentru ca Arabia Saudit\u0103 s\u0103 poat\u0103 c\u00e2\u015ftiga r\u0103zboiul pre\u0163urilor cu furnizorii americani care exploateaz\u0103 z\u0103c\u0103minte de \u015fist.<\/p>\n<p>\nAceea\u015fi agen\u0163ie a redus cu 200.000 barili\/zi estimarea privind cererea de petrol \u00een acest an \u015fi cu 300.000 pentru 2015 \u015fi a apreciat c\u0103 OPEC nu va mai putea fi capabil\u0103 s\u0103 opreasc\u0103 ieftinirea global\u0103 a\u015fa cum o f\u0103cea de obicei p\u00e2n\u0103 acum. Miliardarul prin\u0163 saudit Alwaleed bin Talal a protestat \u00eens\u0103 fa\u0163\u0103 de decizia ministrului saudit al petrolului de a accepta o c\u0103dere global\u0103 a pre\u0163urilor, avertiz\u00e2nd c\u0103 90% din bugetul \u0163\u0103rii provine din v\u00e2nzarea de petrol, iar dac\u0103 \u00eencas\u0103rile continu\u0103 s\u0103 scad\u0103, aceasta ar putea fi o catastrof\u0103 economic\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u0162ara care pierde \u00eens\u0103 cel mai mult din ieftinirea petrolului este Rusia. Rubla ruseasc\u0103 a sc\u0103zut \u00een ultima s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 la niveluri minime record fa\u0163\u0103 de euro (51,97) \u015fi dolar (41,04), din cauza ieftinirii petrolului, \u00een ciuda faptului c\u0103 banca central\u0103 a Rusiei a intervenit \u015fi a v\u00e2ndut cca 7 mld. dolari de la \u00eenceputul lui octombrie spre a sus\u0163ine cursul. Dependen\u0163a \u0163\u0103rii de exportul de energie face ca fiecare ieftinire cu un dolar a petrolului s\u0103 taie 2,5-3 mld. dolari din valoarea exporturilor de-a lungul unui an, estimeaz\u0103 Reuters, ceea ce ar \u00eensemna c\u0103 ieftinirea cu 25 de dolari a petrolului din ultimele trei luni ar putea costa Rusia 65-75 mld. dolari.<\/p>\n<p>\nDe la \u00eenceputul anului, \u00een contextul sanc\u0163iunilor economice contra Rusiei, rubla a pierdut deja aproape 20% \u00een valoare fa\u0163\u0103 de dolar, din care 6,5% numai \u00een ultima lun\u0103. Reuters comenteaz\u0103 c\u0103 vulnerabilitatea rublei reflect\u0103 dependen\u0163a Rusiei de capitalul str\u0103in, \u00een condi\u0163iile \u00een care exodul de capital din \u0163ar\u0103 continu\u0103: prognozele citate de Reuters pentru ie\u015firile de capital din 2015 oscileaz\u0103 \u00eentre 35 mld. dolari (banca central\u0103 ruseasc\u0103) \u015fi 150 mld. dolari (Morgan Stanley).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pre\u0163ul petrolului \u015fi-a continuat c\u0103derea liber\u0103, cobor\u00e2nd chiar sub 81 de dolari\/baril de la peste 110 \u00een iunie, din cauza supraproduc\u0163iei globale determinate \u00een primul r\u00e2nd de &#8220;boomul energetic&#8221; creat de exploat\u0103rile din SUA bazate pe fracturare hidraulic\u0103.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[18496,466,7873,188,150,8887,37364,10628,16780,10278,353,38354,482,11975,16803,365,7417,38355,106,4878],"class_list":["post-113071","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-arabia-saudita","tag-capital","tag-dolar","tag-economie","tag-energie","tag-estimare","tag-fracturare-hidraulica","tag-ieftinire","tag-kuweit","tag-opec","tag-petrol","tag-piata-petrolului","tag-pret","tag-razboi-mondial","tag-rubla","tag-rusia","tag-sanctiuni","tag-sist","tag-sua","tag-vanzare"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113071","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=113071"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/113071\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=113071"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=113071"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=113071"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}