\n“\u00cen Rom\u00e2nia, cererea intern\u0103 este de a\u015fteptat s\u0103 devin\u0103 principalul motor de cre\u015ftere \u00een acest an. Cre\u015fterile salariale \u015fi nivelul foarte sc\u0103zut al infla\u0163iei vor \u00eent\u0103ri puterea de cump\u0103rare a consumatorilor, \u00een vreme ce cre\u015fterea continu\u0103 a exporturilor \u2013 dup\u0103 v\u00e2rful de anul trecut \u2013 ar trebui s\u0103 \u00eencurajeze companiile s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi m\u0103reasc\u0103 investi\u0163iile dup\u0103 nivelurile slabe \u00eenregistrate din 2012 p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een prezent. \u00cen acest context, pentru Rom\u00e2nia, EY Eurozone Forecast estimeaz\u0103 o cre\u015ftere de 2,3% a PIB-ului \u00een 2014, urmat\u0103 de o cre\u015ftere de 3,6% \u00een 2015”, a declarat Bogdan Ion, country managing partner al EY Rom\u00e2nia \u015fi Moldova.<\/p>\n
\nPotrivit raportul de toamn\u0103 EY Eurozone Forecast (EEF), revenirea Zonei Euro \u00eencepe s\u0103 se fac\u0103 sim\u0163it\u0103 treptat dup\u0103 stagnarea din primele \u015fase luni ale anului, iar PIB-ul Zonei Euro va cre\u015fte cu 0,9% \u00een acest an, urmat de o cre\u015ftere de 1,5% \u00een 2015 \u015fi de 1,7% \u00een 2016. Cre\u015fterea vine dup\u0103 doi ani de sc\u0103deri, \u00eens\u0103 ritmul se va situa mult sub ritmul mediu de dinainte de criz\u0103 de 2,3% pe an, \u00eenregistrat \u00een perioada 1997 – 2007.<\/p>\n
\nConform documentului, primele semne ale redres\u0103rii economice au fost impulsionate de \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u0163irea activit\u0103\u0163ii comerciale, dar un rol import \u00een perioada care urmeaz\u0103 \u00eel va juca cererea intern\u0103. Recenta depreciere a monedei Euro va avea un impact pozitiv asupra exportatorilor, \u00een special asupra celor din economiile mai pu\u0163in competitive, iar exporturile sunt estimate s\u0103 creasc\u0103 cu aproximativ 3% \u00een 2014, ating\u00e2nd 4,1% \u00een 2015 \u015fi 4,3% \u00een 2016.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cembun\u0103t\u0103\u0163irea mediului comercial, c\u00e2t \u015fi \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u0163irea accesului la finan\u0163are vor permite firmelor s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi creasc\u0103 nivelul de cheltuieli cu investi\u0163iile. Conform EEF, cre\u015fterea cheltuielilor de capital va atinge cre\u015fteri semnificative, de 2,4% \u00een 2015 \u015fi 2,8% \u00een 2016, fa\u0163\u0103 de 1,3% \u00een 2014. Prin urmare, e de a\u015fteptat ca, \u00een 2014, contribu\u0163ia investi\u0163iilor la cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 s\u0103 fie mai mare, dup\u0103 ce a fost puternic negativ\u0103 \u00een 2013, urm\u00e2nd s\u0103 se men\u0163in\u0103 constant\u0103 \u00een 2015 \u015fi 2016.<\/p>\n
\nCu toate acestea, revenirea investi\u0163iilor va \u00eenregistra un ritm mai sc\u0103zut dec\u00e2t \u00een alte perioade post-recesiune, cauzele fiind nivelurile ridicate ale datoriilor companiilor, cre\u015fterea costurilor reale ale \u00eemprumuturilor pentru \u00eentreprinderile mici \u015fi mijlocii \u015fi fragmentarea financiar\u0103 \u00eenc\u0103 mare.<\/p>\n
\nConform previziunilor EEF, consumul va \u00eenregistra un trend ascendent \u015fi va deveni un motor important de cre\u015ftere \u00een 2015 \u015fi 2016, cu un ritm aproape dublu fa\u0163\u0103 de 2014.<\/p>\n
\nConsumatorii \u00eencep s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi recapete \u00eencrederea, iar sc\u0103derea ratei \u015fomajului va fi un factor pozitiv pentru stimularea consumului. Cre\u015fterea veniturilor \u015fi \u015fomajul \u00een sc\u0103dere ar putea determina consumatorii s\u0103 renun\u0163e la economisire \u00een favoarea consumului. Un impact pozitiv asupra cheltuielilor efectuate de gospod\u0103rii l-ar putea avea \u015fi \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u0163irea condi\u0163iilor din zona creditelor de consum, a\u015fteptat\u0103 ca r\u0103spuns la implementarea programului opera\u0163ional al B\u0103ncii Centrale Europene (BCE) de refinan\u0163are pe termen lung, conform unui sondaj realizat de BCE \u00een iunie. Per ansamblu, se estimeaz\u0103 ca ace\u015fti factori s\u0103 contribuie la o cre\u015ftere a consumului de 1,4% \u00een 2015 \u015fi de 1,5% \u00een 2016, fa\u0163\u0103 de doar 0,8% \u00een acest an.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Cre\u015fterile salariale \u015fi infla\u0163ia redus\u0103 vor impusiona cererea intern\u0103, principalul motor de cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 din 2014, spune Bogdan Ion, \u015feful companiei de audit \u015fi consultan\u0163\u0103 EY Rom\u00e2nia \u015fi Moldova.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[31622,9321,9817,188,34928],"class_list":["post-112903","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-bogdan-ion","tag-cerere","tag-consum","tag-economie","tag-ey-romania"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112903","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=112903"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112903\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=112903"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=112903"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=112903"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}