{"id":107695,"date":"2014-06-01T23:00:00","date_gmt":"2014-06-01T23:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=107695"},"modified":"2014-06-01T23:00:00","modified_gmt":"2014-06-01T23:00:00","slug":"copilul-geopolitic-asistand-la-nasterea-omului-nou","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=107695","title":{"rendered":"Copilul geopolitic asist\u00e2nd la na\u015fterea Omului Nou"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nScriam, prin noiembrie 2010, c\u0103 \u00een data de 11 a respectivei luni a izbcnit al treilea r\u0103zboi mondial. Spuneam atunci c\u0103 data am ales-o doar pentru relevan\u0163a tabloid\u0103, pentru c\u0103 lupte importante fuseser\u0103 deja duse. Era, \u015fi este, un r\u0103zboi economic, diferit de cele purtate p\u00e2n\u0103 acum \u2013 biete \u00eencr\u00e2ncen\u0103ri comerciale sau pe vreun petec de influen\u0163\u0103. Vorbim aici de o repozi\u0163ionare global\u0103, pe fondul crizei, cu mi\u015fc\u0103ri economice, politice \u015fi sociale.<\/p>\n<p>\nDe exemplu r\u0103zboiul ratingurilor: \u00een iulie 2010 cea mai important\u0103 agen\u0163ie de rating din China reducea ratingurile Statelor Unite, Marii Britanii, Germaniei \u015fi Fran\u0163ei de la categoria triplu A la AA, \u00eentr-o mi\u015fcare caracterizat\u0103 drept revolu\u0163ionar\u0103 de c\u0103tre anali\u015ftii occidentali. La 26 septembrie, \u00eentre prima \u015fi a doua retrogradare a ratingului american, puternica Securities and Exchange Commission refuza s\u0103 recunoasc\u0103 celor de la Dagong statutul de agen\u0163ie de rating na\u0163ional\u0103. La 4 noiembrie Dagong a recidivat \u015fi reduce din nou ratingul american pentru datoria pe termen lung de la AA la A plus. Acum ratingul american este A minus, cu perspectiv\u0103 negativ\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\nUnora li s-or fi p\u0103r\u00e2nd fleacuri asemena pozi\u0163ion\u0103ri, dar ele se traduc \u00een bani, mereu. \u00cen bani buni. \u015ei au mai fost, \u015fi sunt, r\u0103zboaiele valutelor (cea mai recent\u0103 mi\u015fcare a fost deprecierea yuanului de c\u0103tre banca central\u0103 chinez\u0103, la finele lui februarie) sau resurselor naturale (de prisos s\u0103 mai amintesc de gazele naturale ruse\u015fti care \u00eemi par, pentru europenii proteja\u0163i de Van Rompuy, o arm\u0103 mai puternic\u0103 \u015fi mai amenin\u0163\u0103toare dec\u00e2t tancurile. Iar recentul acord ruso-chinez, \u00een valoare de 400 de miliarde de dolari, pentru export de gaze, semnat undeva la 4 diminea\u0163a, \u00een ultimele ore ale vizitei pre\u015fedintelui Putin \u00een China (de ce presiunea, graba aceasta?! Pentru c\u0103 Putin avea ceva de demonstrat lumii), ar trebui s\u0103 dea din nou de g\u00e2ndit.<\/p>\n<p>\nDincolo de protec\u0163ionismul Comisiei Europene \u015fi dincolo, de ascensiunea extremi\u015ftilor \u015fi euroscepticilor \u00een Parmamentul European, trebuie eviden\u0163iat un lucru: faptul c\u0103 se na\u015fte o nou\u0103 lume, iar autorit\u0103\u0163ile europene par dep\u0103\u015fite, scufundate \u00een neputin\u0163\u0103 economic\u0103 \u015fi imobilism geopolitic. F\u0103r\u0103 mare leg\u0103tur\u0103 cu subiectul, dar relevant, o s\u0103 folosesc un exemplu dat de profesorul de economie Mario Fatas \u015fi care se refer\u0103 la modul de lucru al B\u0103ncii Centrale Europene. Fatas citeaz\u0103 din cuv\u00e2nt\u0103rile lui Mario Draghi despre pericolul infla\u0163iei: \u00een octombrie 2013: \u201c&#8230;and are ready to consider all available instruments\u201d; noiembrie 2013: \u201c&#8230;but there are a whole range of instruments that we can activate, if needed\u201d; decembrie 2013: \u201c&#8230;and are ready to consider all available instruments\u201d; ianuarie 2014: \u201c &#8230;and to take further decisive action if required\u201d; februarie 2014: \u201c&#8230;and to take further decisive action if required\u201d; martie 2014: \u201c&#8230;and to take further decisive action if required\u201d; aprilie 2014: \u201c&#8230;and act swiftly if required\u201d; mai 2014: \u201c&#8230;and act swiftly, if required\u201d. Este aceasta un soi de procrastinare: vin datele, s\u0103rim amenin\u0163\u0103tori, nu facem nimic pentru c\u0103 nu sunt suficiente date, apar date suficiente care confirm\u0103 dar \u00een loc de ac\u0163iune \u00eencepe o nou\u0103 perioad\u0103 de a\u015fteptare a urm\u0103torului r\u00e2nd de date. \u015ei ciclul se reia.<\/p>\n<p>\nDe c\u00e2te ori nu a\u0163i tr\u0103it sau sim\u0163it acest mod de a (nu) ac\u0163iona? Iar \u00een timpul \u0103sta al\u0163ii chiar se mi\u015fc\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\nIlustrez cu un Dali: \u201cCopilul geopolitic asist\u00e2nd la na\u015fterea Omului Nou\u201d, pictat \u00een 1943, \u00een plin r\u0103zboi mondial. Omul Nou se sprijin\u0103 cumva pe Europa, dar se na\u015fte, cu v\u0103rsarea de s\u00e2nge de rigoare, din America. M\u0103 \u00eentreb ce \u015fi cum ar fi pictat Dali \u00een aceste zile.<\/p>\n<p>\n<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/storage0.dms.mpinteractiv.ro\/media\/401\/341\/5544\/12673075\/8\/dali3.jpg?height=548&#038;width=620\" style=\"width: 620px; height: 548px;\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00cen timp ce Herman Van Rompuy declar\u0103 public, undeva \u00een Germania, c\u0103 dore\u015fte o Europ\u0103 mai protectoare cu cet\u0103\u0163enii ei, Vladimir Putin semna cu omologii din Belarus \u015fi Kazahstan un acord pentru crearea unei uniuni economice eurasiatice. Iat\u0103 dou\u0103 fa\u0163ete ale unui nou tip de conflict.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[529],"tags":[457,7685,16419,544,15278,438,7921,26214,10764,26992,366],"class_list":["post-107695","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-opinii","tag-acord","tag-belarus","tag-cetateni","tag-conflict","tag-copil","tag-europa","tag-germania","tag-nastere","tag-semnare","tag-van-rompuy","tag-vladimir-putin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107695","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=107695"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107695\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=107695"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=107695"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=107695"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}