{"id":105095,"date":"2014-03-16T18:07:00","date_gmt":"2014-03-16T18:07:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=105095"},"modified":"2014-03-16T18:07:00","modified_gmt":"2014-03-16T18:07:00","slug":"conflictul-din-ucraina-leul-sta-bine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=105095","title":{"rendered":"Conflictul din Ucraina: leul st\u0103 bine"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\u00cen afar\u0103 de reac\u0163ia de moment a cursului valutar, comun\u0103 cu cea traversat\u0103 de zlotul polonez la 3 martie, c\u00e2nd Kremlinul a cerut ultimativ trupelor ucrainene s\u0103 se retrag\u0103 din Crimeea, impactul conflictului este limitat at\u00e2t de datele geopolitice ale Rom\u00e2niei (\u0163ar\u0103 membr\u0103 UE \u015fi NATO), c\u00e2t \u015fi de cele economice (consolidare fiscal\u0103 \u00eencheiat\u0103, program cu FMI \u00eencheiat cu succes, ratinguri pozitive, dar \u015fi rela\u0163iile comerciale \u015fi de investi\u0163ii relativ slabe cu Ucraina), apreciaz\u0103 anali\u015ftii BCR. Conform acestora, pierderea de valoare a leului n-ar dep\u0103\u015fi 1-2% fa\u0163\u0103 de euro nici dac\u0103 tensiunile din Crimeea ajung la faza de conflict militar.<\/p>\n<p>\nLa r\u00e2ndul lor, economi\u015ftii ING Bank Rom\u00e2nia nu dau ca posibil\u0103 o depreciere important\u0103 a leului, invoc\u00e2nd faptul c\u0103 pia\u0163a con\u015ftientizeaz\u0103 rolul BNR \u00een \u00eempiedicarea unor derapaje ale cursului. &#8220;Credem c\u0103 pierderi ale leului dincolo de 4,52\/EUR ar reaprinde temerile de interven\u0163ii ale b\u0103ncii centrale, similar cu astfel de episoade \u00een s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nile precedente. Credem a\u015fadar c\u0103 moneda local\u0103 se va stabiliza l\u00e2ng\u0103 4,52\/EUR&#8221;, arat\u0103 Mihai \u0162\u00e2n\u0163aru, economist ING. Acesta este un scenariu pentru situa\u0163ia \u00een care conflictul din Ucraina s-ar agrava, \u0163in\u00e2nd cont c\u0103 \u00een ultima s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103, cel mai mare curs nu a dep\u0103\u015fit 4,5102 lei\/euro, atins miercuri, iar s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na s-a \u00eenchis la un curs de 4,509 lei\/euro.<\/p>\n<p>\n<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/storage0.dms.mpinteractiv.ro\/media\/401\/341\/5531\/12273864\/2\/curs.jpg?height=420&#038;width=483\" style=\"width: 483px; height: 420px;\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dac\u0103 pre\u015fedintele Traian B\u0103sescu a dat asigur\u0103ri \u00een plan militar c\u0103 Rom\u00e2nia nu e p\u00e2ndit\u0103 de niciun pericol de r\u0103zboi \u00een contextul conflictului din Ucraina, acelea\u015fi asigur\u0103ri \u00een plan economic \u015fi financiar le dau anali\u015ftii b\u0103ncilor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[7734,7733,188,11056,14890,543,23289,186,151,349],"class_list":["post-105095","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-analisti","tag-curs-valutar","tag-economie","tag-financiar","tag-militar","tag-nato","tag-piata-valutara","tag-razboi","tag-ucraina","tag-ue"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105095","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=105095"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105095\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=105095"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=105095"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=105095"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}