{"id":103369,"date":"2014-01-23T13:51:43","date_gmt":"2014-01-23T13:51:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=103369"},"modified":"2014-01-23T13:51:43","modified_gmt":"2014-01-23T13:51:43","slug":"studiu-facebook-ar-putea-pierde-80-dintre-utilizatori-in-urmatorii-trei-ani-care-ar-fi-explicatia-declinului","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=103369","title":{"rendered":"STUDIU: Facebook ar putea pierde 80% dintre utilizatori \u00een urm\u0103torii trei ani. Care ar fi explica\u0163ia declinului"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nJohn Cannarella \u015fi Joshua Spechlere, care studiaz\u0103 inginerie mecanic\u0103 \u015fi aerospa\u0163ial\u0103 la Universitatea Princeton, au ajuns la aceast\u0103 concluzie dup\u0103 ce au realizat un studiu bazat pe progresul \u015fi apoi dec\u0103derea platformei MySpace, precursoare a re\u0163elei de socializare Facebook.<\/p>\n<p>\nJohn Cannarella \u015fi Joshua Spechlere afirm\u0103 c\u0103 cea mai important\u0103 re\u0163ea social\u0103 din lume, care \u00eenregistreaz\u0103 peste 1,1 miliarde de utilizatori \u015fi va s\u0103rb\u0103tori, luna viitoare, zece ani de existen\u0163\u0103, se \u00eendreapt\u0103 spre un declin abrupt.<\/p>\n<p>\n<strong>&#8220;S-a demonstrat c\u0103 ideile, la fel ca maladiile, se propag\u0103 \u00eentr-o manier\u0103 infec\u0163ioas\u0103 \u00eentre oameni, \u00eenainte de a muri, \u015fi acest lucru a fost descris cu succes de modelele epidemiologice&#8221;, au scris cercet\u0103torii.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\nAce\u015ftia au aplicat un model epidemiologic modificat pentru a descrie dinamica utilizatorilor re\u0163elelor sociale, folosind datele Google, care sunt de domeniu public.<\/p>\n<p>\nEi au ajuns astfel la concluzia c\u0103 re\u0163eaua de socializare Facebook, ale c\u0103rei ac\u0163iuni au atins mar\u0163i un record de 58,51 dolari, a fost \u00een plin\u0103 glorie \u00een 2012 \u015fi ar putea &#8220;cunoa\u015fte un declin rapid&#8221;. Ace\u015ftia au ajuns la acest rezultat consult\u00e2nd \u015fi unele studii anterioare care ar\u0103tau c\u0103 din ce \u00een ce mai mul\u0163i tineri au \u00eenceput s\u0103 renun\u0163e la re\u0163eaua social\u0103 \u00een 2013.<\/p>\n<p>\n&#8220;Facebook ar putea cunoa\u015fte un declin rapid \u00een anii care vin, diminu\u00e2ndu-\u015fi cu 20% capacitatea sa maxim\u0103, p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een decembrie 2014&#8221;, au scris cei doi autori \u00een studiul publicat pe site-ul <a href=\"http:\/\/ArXiv.org\" target=\"_blank\">ArXiv.org<\/a>, \u00een care mai estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 re\u0163eaua social\u0103 ar putea pierde &#8220;80% din baza sa de utilizatori, \u00eentre 2015 \u015fi 2017&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>\nP\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een prezent, re\u0163eaua social\u0103 pare s\u0103 fie stabil\u0103. Averea directorului opera\u0163ional al Facebook, Sheryl Sandberg, a dep\u0103\u015fit un miliard de dolari, dup\u0103 ce ac\u0163iunile re\u0163elei de socializare au \u00eenchis \u015fedin\u0163a de tranzac\u0163ionare pe bursa din SUA la un nou nivel record. De asemenea, directorul general al Facebook, Mark Zuckerberg, \u00een v\u00e2rst\u0103 de 29 de ani, are o avere estimat\u0103 la 19 miliarde de dolari.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Facebook, considerat\u0103 \u00een momentul de fa\u0163\u0103 cea mai important\u0103 re\u0163ea de socializare din lume, ar putea pierde 80% dintre utilizatorii s\u0103i p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2017, se arat\u0103 \u00eentr-un studiu coordonat de doi doctoranzi de la Universitatea Princeton (SUA).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[7320,8302,264],"class_list":["post-103369","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-facebook","tag-pierderi","tag-utilizatori"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103369","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=103369"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103369\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=103369"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=103369"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=103369"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}