\nPrognoza ING Bank vorbe\u015fte de un curs de 4,40 lei\/euro la finele T1, 4,45 la finele T2 \u015fi 4,35 la sf\u00e2r\u015fitul anului, ca efect al percep\u0163iei bune a investitorilor fa\u0163\u0103 de Rom\u00e2nia \u015fi al semnelor de stabilitate politic\u0103 dup\u0103 conflictele din USL de la finele anului trecut.<\/p>\n
\nDup\u0103 ce guvernatorul BNR Mugur Is\u0103rescu a men\u0163ionat c\u0103 o varia\u0163ie de 5% fa\u0163\u0103 de nivelurile curente este normal\u0103 pentru leu, viceguvernatorul Cristian Popa a spus c\u0103 deciziile recente de politic\u0103 monetar\u0103 (t\u0103ierea dob\u00e2nzii de politic\u0103 monetar\u0103 la 3,75% \u015fi a ratei rezervelor minime obligatorii la 12% pentru lei \u015fi 18% pentru valut\u0103) au fost favorizate de faptul c\u0103 leul se afl\u0103 la niveluri ce pot fi etichetate drept de echilibru, ceea ce \u00eei face pe anali\u015ftii ING s\u0103 conchid\u0103 c\u0103 intervalul preferat de BNR la ora actual\u0103 ar fi de 4,40-4,60 lei\/euro.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen ceea ce \u00eei prive\u015fte pe anali\u015ftii BCR, ace\u015ftia nu exclud \u00eenc\u0103 o reducere a dob\u00e2nzii de politic\u0103 monetar\u0103 la 3,5% \u00een februarie \u015fi o nou\u0103 reducere a ratei rezervelor minime obligatorii la lei p\u00e2n\u0103 la 8% \u00een cursul anului, pe fondul sc\u0103derii infla\u0163iei \u015fi al perspectivei \u00eenc\u0103 slabe a credit\u0103rii \u015fi a cre\u015fterii economice.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen privin\u0163a leului, ei amintesc c\u0103 disputele politice din decembrie 2013 au afectat leul, care a ajuns atunci la minimul ultimelor dou\u0103 luni: “Atmosfera s-a lini\u015ftit de atunci, \u00eens\u0103 leul a r\u0103mas vulnerabil la \u00eenceputul lui ianuarie, c\u00e2nd banca central\u0103 a continuat relaxarea monetar\u0103. Nu sunt excluse \u015fi alte puseuri de voltilitate pe parcursul anului, \u00een condi\u0163iile unui curs valutar care va oscila \u00een jur de 4,5 lei\/euro”.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Cursul valutar s-a stabilizat peste 4,5 lei\/euro, \u00eencheind s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na la 4,5275 lei\/euro, dup\u0103 ce sc\u0103derea dob\u00e2nzii de politic\u0103 monetar\u0103 \u015fi influen\u0163a regional\u0103 a dus la un maxim de 4,5447 lei\/euro, consemnat la 10 ianuarie.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[7734,5078,185,557,16843,7733,7458,930,184,8210,7353,8349,8790,9338,20438],"class_list":["post-103225","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-analisti","tag-bcr","tag-bnr","tag-creditare","tag-cristian-popa","tag-curs-valutar","tag-dobanda","tag-euro","tag-inflatie","tag-ing","tag-isarescu","tag-leu","tag-politica-monetara","tag-prognoze","tag-rmo"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103225","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=103225"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103225\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=103225"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=103225"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=103225"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}